Modeling Attribution of Cyber Attacks Using Bayesian Belief Networks The article makes an attempt to bring to the fore the various factors which are considered in the due process of attribution of a cyber-attack and the correlation of credible attribution with cyber deterrence. The focal point of the article is a three-step approach to model the decision-making process behind attribution of cyber-attacks using Bayesian Belief Networks and a case study to elucidate on the functioning of the model. Munish Sharma | January 2021 | Strategic Analysis
The Sino-Indian Geopolitics and Maritime Security of the Indian Ocean Region The Indian Ocean Region (IOR) is a prominent arena in international politics, in terms of trade, tourism, population, among other aspects. Several countries, some unconnected geographically, have shown interest in these waters. These entities offer financial, technical, infrastructural and capacity-building support, and security services to several IOR countries. India, the prominent resident power of this ocean, and others, consider this development unnecessary, uncalled for and unacceptable. Sainandan S. Iyer , Ranadhir Mukhopadhyay , Sridhar D. Iyer | January 2021 | Strategic Analysis
Erdogan’s New Foreign Policy Volte Face It remains to be seen to what extent Turkish President Recep Tayyeb Erdogan’s recent efforts to mend broken regional ties and address concerns over domestic policies will succeed. Adil Rasheed | December 23, 2020 | IDSA Comments
Remembering Bangladesh’s Liberation War India and Bangladesh fought together “in the defence of human liberty”, in the words of Sheikh Mujib ur Rahman, to liberate Bangladesh, fifty momentous years ago. Smruti S. Pattanaik | December 16, 2020 | IDSA Comments
Political Uncertainty in Lebanon Disagreements on cabinet positions continue to hamper the formation of a new Lebanese government, even as the country is going through socio-economic turmoil, compounded by the pandemic and the Beirut port blast. Jatin Kumar | December 14, 2020 | IDSA Comments
Helping Start-ups Cross the ‘Valley of Death’: The Main Challenge for iDEX The iDEX has made a commendable effort at putting a defence start-up ecosystem in place. The challenges ahead include maintaining momentum, obtaining funding, and accessing toolsets and data sets. Cherian Samuel | December 11, 2020 | Issue Brief
Hefajat-e-Islami and the Politics of Islamism in Bangladesh The street power of the ulema groups in Bangladesh is pushing the government to further Islamise the social sphere, which will pave the way for the ultimate political success of the Islamists. Smruti S. Pattanaik | December 11, 2020 | Issue Brief
Targeted Killings: How Precedents can Become Practice Executing extra-territorial targeted killings to eliminate inimical people bent on wrecking death and destruction on Indian nationals and interests is an option India may explore more vigorously, within the confines of international law. D. Padma Kumar Pillay | December 10, 2020 | IDSA Comments
Iraq under Mustafa Al-Kadhimi: Turning Over a New Leaf Since taking over as the Iraqi prime minister in May 2020, Mustafa al-Kadhimi has blended pragmatism with caution while dealing with significant domestic as well as external challenges. Prabhat Jawla | December 07, 2020 | Issue Brief
France Counters Islamist Radicalisation In the aftermath of Samuel Paty’s beheading, France is taking measures that seek to reverse the processes through which individuals become ‘terrorists’. If successful, other countries could emulate such policy interventions in their own counter-radicalisation efforts. Adil Rasheed , Savini Mehta | December 04, 2020 | IDSA Comments
