Shebonti Ray Dadwal

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  • Shebonti Ray Dadwal is Consultant at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi. Click here for detailed profile

    The Abqaiq Attack – Fallout on Oil Market

    While there is no immediate shortage of oil as the market is balanced for the time being, there are growing concerns about potential conflict in the region leading to supply disruption and resultant price spike, affecting the already nervous market sentiment.

    October 07, 2019

    China’s Continuing Rare Earth Dominance

    Given China’s stated policy of using its rare earth dominance for strategic purposes, countries have been looking for ways to diversify their sources of supply. India too needs to acquire expertise in valorising rare earth minerals and shift to developing its downstream sector.

    September 27, 2019

    The West Asian Crisis and Oil Price Expectations

    As concerns over a potential conflict in the region grow, the pressing issue of what a conflict would mean for the price of international crude oil needs to be addressed urgently.

    July 04, 2019

    Slippery, but this ain’t crude

    May 08, 2019

    Crude oil prices have firmed up after the Significant Reduction Exemption (SRE) waiver granted by the US to eight nations, including India, allowing them to import gradually diminishing quantities of oil from Iran, ended on May 2. The hardening of prices is inevitable if additional oil supplies do not reach the market to compensate for the approximately 1.3 million barrels per day (mbd) reduction in Iranian oil.

    US-Venezuela Stand-off: Impact on Global Oil Prices

    With US sanctions in place on the Venezuelan oil industry, global oil prices are set to rise once again, which may have major geopolitical and geo-economic consequences.

    February 20, 2019

    Strategic Petroleum Reserves: Stocking Oil for Rainy Days

    A strategic petroleum reserve offers India the leverage to be a serious player in the international oil market, as it will have the option to release supplies when prices spike and recharge the reserve when prices are low.

    November 02, 2018

    Caspian Sea Agreement and the International Energy Market

    The value of the Caspian energy reserve lies in its potential to add to global reserves of oil and gas, which, in turn, could bring down costs.

    September 12, 2018

    Whither Oil Prices? India’s Choices

    President Trump’s decision to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal has sent oil prices soaring again. Even prior to the May 8, 2018 announcement, after falling to below $30 a barrel in early 2016, oil prices were on the boil again, belying the projections of market analysts, including those of the respected International Energy Agency (IEA), that the era of $100 plus per barrel of oil was over. The projections were based on the assumption that nations would move increasingly away from oil—and coal—to meet their carbon mitigation commitments under the Paris Agreement.

    July 2018

    Iran Sanctions: India’s Options

    Given that Iran accounts for around 10 per cent of India total oil imports, the immediate factor for New Delhi will be to look at various options to deal with the situation without jeopardising its energy security.

    July 12, 2018

    Oil Prices Stumble, but for how long?

    Despite the easing of international crude prices, the central government is unlikely to cut central excise duties since a cut of Re 1 would result in a loss of revenue of Rs. 10,725 crore.

    May 30, 2018

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