Vinay Kaushal

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  • Group Captain Vinay Kaushal (Retd.) is Distinguished Fellow at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi. Click here for detail profile.

    High Fuel Prices: Does the End Justify the Means?

    The contentious discourse in the media ignores the implications of state taxes on rising fuel prices.

    September 27, 2017

    Indian Defence Budget: Challenging Times

    The past decade, and in particular the Twelfth Plan period, have been challenging times for the Indian defence budget. Strategic foresight demands that India’s military strength and capabilities relate to diverse challenges by way of a not unlikely two-front war, the attendant imperatives for a ‘Cold Start’ capability, non-conventional challenges from non-state actors, counter-terrorism capabilities and unavoidable internal security responsibilities.

    January 2017

    Defence Budget 2017-18: What the Macro-Economic Factors Foretell

    If the defence expenditure relationship to the GDP of 1.65 per cent is maintained, we may see a budget estimate (BE) for defence expenditure of Rs. 285,000 crores, against the current year BE of Rs. 249,099 crores.

    January 31, 2017

    Defence Modernisation: A Silver Lining in the Dark Clouds?

    The presentation of the Union budget on February 1 is expected to ensure full utilisation of allocated funds and will ensure that ‘New Schemes’ can be processed, approved and contracted from April 1, 2017.

    January 27, 2017

    India’s Defence Budget 2017-18: Should Alarm Bells Ring?

    The share of defence expenditure in 2016-17 has gone below the levels it was in 1955-56. In 2017-18 it will go down to 1.557 per cent of GDP.

    February 10, 2017

    Impressment Exercise for ‘Civil Hired Transport’ (CHT): Is there a better way to do it in Digital India?

    The Army needs to comprehensively review the existing SoP for this exercise, liaise with MORTH and NHAI and jointly develop a software which can generate traffic data reports that would be accurate and useful for its planning purposes.

    December 08, 2016

    Union Budget 2016-17: Deciphering the Defence Budget

    Deciphering the Defence Budget

    The underutilisation of allocated funds suggest that the meagre funds available in the modernisation budget after catering for committed liabilities have not been fully utilised. Thus, a thorough introspection for better expenditure management is needed.

    March 01, 2016

    Analysis Based Forecast of Revised Estimates of Defence Budget 2015-16: Who Bails Out Whom?

    Analysis Based Forecast of Revised Estimates of Defence Budget 2015-16: Who Bails Out Whom?

    Sustaining and building defence capabilty is a continuous process. It requires both adequate budget allocations and full, efficient and judicous utilisation of the allocated budget. This does not appear to have happened in the immediate past and the trend appears to continue in the current year.

    February 23, 2016

    Defence Budget 2015 -16: The Writing on the Wall

    Defence Budget 2015 -16: The Writing on the Wall

    It is a fairly simple exercise to estimate what the defence budget will be given available indicators. My assessment is that the Budget Estimate for defence is likely to be around Rs. 250,000 crore, with 105,000 crore for Capital Expenditure and 145,000 Crore for Revenue Expenditure.

    February 27, 2015

    The Imperative of Public Private Partnership in the Defence Aviation Industry

    The Imperative of Public Private Partnership in the Defence Aviation Industry

    It is necessary to evolve a long term strategy keeping in mind all the aircraft acquisition programmes, review the factors that contribute to determining the right numbers and begin the process of building a long term partnership with the private industry.

    December 03, 2014