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9th South Asia Conference - Culture as a Factor in Regional Cooperation in South Asia November 26, 2015 to November 27, 2015 Conference
South Asia South Asia Conference
Talk by Australian Minister for Defence, Kevin Andrews, on ‘Australia's Defence Policies and Growing Synergies with India' September 02, 2015 Hon'ble Australian Minister for Defence, Kevin Andrews 1000 hrs Other

Chair: Ambassador Biren Nanda, Former High Commissioner of India

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About the Speaker

Kevin Andrews was sworn in as the Minister for Defence in the Australian Government on 23 December 2014.

A member of Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s Cabinet, the Minister has been a member of the Australian Commonwealth Parliament, since 1991, serving as the member for the Victorian seat of Menzies in the House of Representatives.

Since his election to parliament, the Minister has served on numerous Parliamentary Committees, including the Joint Select Committee on Family Law Issues, the Joint Standing Committee on Treaties and the Joint Select Committee on Intelligence Services. He has also served as Chairman of the House of Representatives Committee on Legal and Constitutional Affairs, Chairman of the Federal Government’s Policy Committee on Family and Community Services and Deputy Chairman of the House of Representatives Economics Committee.

The Minister’s previous Ministerial appointments include serving as Minister for Ageing (2001-2003), Minister for Employment and Workplace Relations and Minister Assisting the Prime Minister for the Public Service (2003-2007), Minister for Immigration and Citizenship (2007) and Minister for Social Services (2013-2014).

The Minister has previously served as the Shadow Minister for Schools, Vocational Education and Training (1993-1994) and the Shadow Minister for Families, Housing and Human Services (2009-2013).

Following the defeat of the Howard Government, the Minister was appointed as Chairman of the Coalition’s Federalism Taskforce. He was subsequently appointed Chairman of the Coalition Policy Review and Coalition Policy Coordination Committee in 2008 and held that position until December 2009.

In 2012, the Minister published a book entitled “Maybe I Do: Modern Marriage and the Pursuit of Happiness.”

Raised in country Victoria, the Minister studied law and arts at Melbourne University, where he lived at Newman College, before completing a Master of Laws at Monash University.

Before his election to parliament, the Minister served as an Associate to Sir James Gobbo in the Victorian Supreme Court before practicing law at the Victorian Bar. He was named Australian Young Lawyer of the Year for his community work in establishing a legal scheme for disaster victims, and for publishing a book for seniors about the law.

A keen cyclist, the Minister is married to Margaret and together they have four adult children and a teenage son.

Programme

9.30 AM – 10.00 AM    Registration 

10.00 AM – 10.03 AM    Welcome Remarks by Brig Rumel Dahiya  (Retd)  Deputy Director General, Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses

10.03 Am – 10.08    Opening Remarks by Amb Biren Nanda, former High Commissioner of India in Australia (Chair) 

10.08 AM – 10.30 AM    Talk by Honourable Kevin Andrews 

10.30 AM– 10.55 AM Q&A 

10.55 AM –11.00 AM    Closing Remarks by Chair and Vote of Thanks by DDG, IDSA 

11.00 AM onwards    High Tea

 

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Eminent Persons' Lecture Series - Talk by HE Sher Bahadur Deuba on “Political Situation in Nepal” July 31, 2015 Sher Bahadur Deuba Speeches and Lectures

About the Speaker

HE Sher Bahadur Deuba is Former Prime Minister of Nepal and Senior Leader of the Nepali Congress.

Excellencies, Friends, Ladies and Gentlemen!

I would like to begin by offering my heartfelt condolences on the sad and untimely demise of Former President of India, APJ Abdul Kalam. It is an irreparable loss for all of us. He was a great scientist, a committed humanist and a source of inspiration to all, especially youth and children. In his demise, Nepal has lost a great friend. I have vivid memory of meeting him at Rashtrapati Bhawan while I was Prime Minister. I was struck by his simplicity, intelligence and saintly personality. I salute his inspirational life as a man of great achievement and brilliance.

Excellencies and Friends!

I express my sincere thanks to the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA) for giving me this opportunity to share my thoughts on Nepal-India relations in the present context at this gathering of eminent personalities, intellectuals and friends of Nepal.

I have come to India at a time when Nepal is engaged in the final stage of promulgating a new democratic, federal, and inclusive Constitution through the Constituent Assembly. A series of agreements among the political parties, the recent 16-series of agreements among the political parties, have generated crucial understanding to move forward by forging common position on some of the key issues of the new Constitution.

We will build on it and take on board all stakeholders in the spirit of inclusiveness since we cannot afford to remain in perennial transition, which has cost a lot in terms of our political stability, economic development and social progress. Our efforts are geared towards accommodating the legitimate concerns and aspirations of all segments of the Nepalese society, including those that have been voiced in the recent public hearing of the draft Constitution. The promulgation of the Constitution will herald a new era of institutionalised peace and stability and strengthened democratic institutions. We also remain committed to Nepal becoming a federal state.

We are equally aware that sustainable peace and stability can be achieved only when we ensure economic prosperity to our people. Hence, while we focus on giving final shape to the political process, we attach corresponding importance to the social-economic development needs of the country.

Friends and Excellencies!

As you all know, a devastating earthquake of 7.8 Richter magnitude struck Nepal on 25th April of this year, which caused massive human loss, suffering and destruction of infrastructure. This earthquake was followed by four major aftershocks of more than 6 Richter magnitude, as well as one which was more 7.3 after 17 days that caused even more damage and distress. Our closest neighbour India was the first to lend us support. I fondly recall the prompt action by Prime Minister of India Hon. Shri Narendra Modi ji in sending the rescue and relief teams, both civil and military, to Nepal within hours of the first earthquake under “Operation Maitri”. We received spontaneous and generous relief supplies including food, medicine, tents and blankets from the Government and people of India, including non-government, religious and private sector organisations as well as from the individuals. This proves that our friendship remains firm even during difficult times.

I equally appreciate the participation from India at the level of Minister for External Affairs in the International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction held on 25 June 2015. While assuring continued cooperation in Nepal’s reconstruction, India pledged one billion US dollars, one fourth of it as Grant. The pledge at the conference of substantive contribution to the post-earthquake reconstruction of Nepal by India is testimony to the strong bond of friendship and cooperation existing between Nepal and India.

In the context of Nepals’ post-earthquake disaster needs and reconstruction plan, we count on India’s continued support, both from government and private sector, in rebuilding the infrastructure destroyed by the earthquake.

It may be pertinent to mention here that though the effect of earthquake on tourism infrastructure was not so significant and key areas such as Lumbini, Chitwan, the Annapurna trekking route, etc., are unaffected and safe to visit. There has been a significant drop in tourism. I also wish to state that though 14 out of 75 districts of Nepal were severely impacted by the earthquakes, the international airport, all domestic airports, and almost all highways are in operation. There is no health problem reported attributed to the quake. Thus, it is fully safe to visit Nepal.

On a different note, I am glad to state that Nepal and India enjoy excellent bilateral relations based on cordiality, goodwill, mutual respect and cooperation. I also take note with satisfaction that geographical proximity, extensive economic linkages, shared historical, religious, and socio-cultural affinity as well as wider people-to-people contact have further enriched these relations.

The visit to Nepal by Hon. Prime Minister of India Shri Narendra Modiji in August last year, after a gap of 17 years at the level of Prime Minister, has created a new momentum in our multi-dimensional relations. His address in Nepal’s Constituent Assembly where he said “Humaare sambandh kagaz ki kashtiyon se aagey nahi badhe hain, Humaare sambandh dilon ke dasstan kahate hain!” showed his tremendous good will towards Nepal and won the hearts of the Nepali people. Prior to the PM’s visit, the Joint Commission at the Foreign Minister level was also reactivated. As good friends we are equally committed to bringing our relations to a newer height.

Development assistance received from India has helped in both infrastructure and human resource development for key projects in much needed sectors. India is Nepal’s largest trade partner, largest source of foreign investment and of tourist arrivals. The private sectors and business communities of the two countries have played vital role in consolidating and strengthening our relations. However, I feel that the current level of interactions does not reflect our full potentials. Many areas still remain untapped. We are eager to invite the Indian investors to come and invest in Nepal.

Despite our long and diverse economic relations, the ever-growing trade deficit remains a matter of concern for us. Nepal’s trade deficit with India needs to be corrected in the interest of both the economies. As we are eager to increase the volume of trade between our two countries, we should also ensure that it is sustainable.

I consider that increased Indian investment, increase in the number of products being exported from Nepal, simplification of process related to trade transaction, relaxation of rules of origin and duty free access of Nepalese products is critical to address Nepal’s trade deficit.

It is encouraging to note that with a view to promoting, facilitating, expanding and diversifying trade between the two countries and encouraging collaboration in economic development, Nepal and India have signed BIPPA. To give further momentum to bilateral trade, Agreement for the Avoidance of Double Taxation and Prevention of Fiscal Evasion with respect to Taxes on Income has also been signed. There is equality of treatment for foreign and indigenous investors in Nepal.

The signing of Power Trade Agreement on 21 October 2014 has enabled cooperation in the power sector, including developing transmission interconnections, grid connectivity, and power exchange and trading through the governmental, public and private enterprises of the two countries on mutually acceptable terms. I am especially pleased to note the progress that has been made by the establishment of the Joint Executive Committee of the Pancheswar Development Authority. The Pancheswar High Dam Project has been a dram project for me since the signing of the Mahakali Treaty almost two decades ago when I was Prime Minister. People living in both banks and downstream of the Mahakali River stand to benefit a lot from the construction of this high dam as it has the potential to generate 6,500 MW of hydroelectricity and will also irrigate hundreds of thousands of hectares as well as control floods. This project will herald in a new era for people living of both neighbouring nations.

The Project Development Agreements, that have also been signed, further demonstrate an upswing in mutually beneficial cooperation. The signing of MoU last year on Tourism Cooperation and the Motor Vehicle Agreement between the two countries has paved the way for promoting tourism. I would also like to reiterate that mutual economic benefits, especially investment in trade and tourism will be greatly increased by the road connectivity that will be enhanced between our two nations by the construction of the Fast Track Highway that will link Kathmandu to the plain areas. I hope to see the construction of the Nijgadh Airport with the cooperation of the Indian Government in the same spirit and speed. I am happy to note that support to both these projects were especially mentioned by your External Affairs Minister Honourable Shrimati Sushma Swaraj ji during the donor conference in Kathmandu last month.

I believe that, in addition to strengthening bilateral mechanisms, emphasis should be laid on better connectivity – physical, institutional, and people to people – which serves as a bridge between the two countries and peoples including economic transactions. No doubt, Nepal’s location gives it an important role to facilitate wider connectivity in this dynamic region.

As the largest and vibrant democracy in the world, India has consistently nurtured democratic values and norms. I appreciate the achievements made by India in economic, social, scientific and other frontiers in the recent years. I admire the policy measures taken by India that have led to consistently high economic growth rate despite multiple global crises. Since India is rising as a major emerging global economic power, Nepal looks forward to a closer and intensive collaboration with such a vibrant economy so as to ensure a higher degree of prosperity for us.

India’s rise as a technologically highly advanced country of the world and Prime Minister Shri Modiji’s offer of the SAARC satellite as a gift for this region is a much appreciated as great initiative for mutual benefits from applied space science technology. The policy of India to promote cordial ties with countries in the neighbourhood has generated a sense of respect and euphoria in South Asia. Both Regional and Sub-Regional processes are gaining desired momentum in South Asia. Neighbourhood-first policy of India has yielded positive results and I welcome the emerging trends in relationship.

In this context, the business community from both countries can play important role, through enduring partnership and mutually beneficial activities, in the years to come. I am confident that the business leaders and industrialists from India will find Nepal an attractive investment destination and the Nepalese entrepreneurs the most reliable business partners. There are immense potentials for the development of hydropower projects, tourism, mining, forestry and agro-based industries as well as the construction sector particularly roads, transmission lines, airports and other infrastructure.

India has been supportive to Nepal’s democratic process with tremendous goodwill and solidarity. As Nepalese people strive to achieve a democratic, inclusive and prosperous society, I believe India would continue to extend its cooperation and support

I would like to stop my remarks at thus juncture and thank you all for your patience. Thank you!

South Asia
Eminent Persons' Lecture Series - Lecture by HE Mr Evan Garcia on "Issues of South China Sea and Future Prognosis: A Philippine Perspective" July 16, 2015 Evan P. Garcia Speeches and Lectures

About the Speaker

Evan P. Garcia is Undersecretary for Foreign Affairs, Department of Foreign Affairs, Republic of the Philippines


I would like to thank the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses for the kind invitation to be part of today’s discussion.

I am immensely pleased and honored to join the list of Eminent Persons who have delivered lectures before and interact with the distinguished fellows and associates of this Institute on important and relevant issues.

Dialogue and discussion

I cannot overemphasize the importance of dialogue and the need to provide a venue for the open discussion of difficult and sensitive subjects.

Through dialogue and discussion, we can hope to gain a fuller understanding and better appreciation of the immense challenges that confront and confound nations and the international community.

In the multiplicity of perspectives and in the discussion of diverse ideas, we can seek and identify points of convergence and common action.

Indeed, even opposing views do not necessarily lead parties to a standstill. Neithershould they lead to a standoff. On the contrary, when properly harnessed and framed, divergent views – for the willing and for those with an open mind - can create trust, mutual understanding and the political space for moving forward together.

Through genuine dialogue and forthright discussion, we avoid the needless clash brought about by intransigent positions and – together - harness the power of collective critical thinking.

Certainly, the ASEAN-India Centre and the Institute of Defence and Security Analyses play this critical and vital role: In encouraging the open exchange of ideas, the Centre and Institute serve as thought drivers that help inform both foreign policy makers and the public alike.

In this context, I welcome this opportunity to share with you the Philippine perspective on issues on the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea.

Asia: New Realities and Evolving Challenges

Asia has undergone and continues to undergo fundamental changes that have invited the world’s renewed attention and focus.

Despite the diversity and differences in political and economic systems, it has transformed itself into a vibrant region thatnow encompasses almost half of the world’s population, threeof the world’s top 10 economies (China, Japan and India), more than a fifth of the world’s GDP, a third of the world’s exports and almost half of the world’s maritime tonnage.

Should Asia sustain the momentum of its growth , the region is projected to achieve an even greater role as an epicenter of global prosperity by 2050, producing over half of the world’s GDP and accounting for half of the world’s output, trade and investment, by that time according to the Asian Development Bank.

Indeed, the objectives of achieving progress and prosperity in Asia are becoming less and less aspirational in nature and the desire to further strengthen economic performance is becoming more and more a defining basis for closer relations between countries in the region.

But while Asia’s economic ascent appears on track, China’s recent stock market problem notwithstanding, serious challenges remain and the onward advancement can be derailed.

Political insecurity and simmering tensions within the region threaten Asia’s dynamism. The situation in the DPRK remains a continuing concern and disputes over territory and maritime entitlements – including in the South China Sea and the Philippines’ portion of it, the West Philippine Sea- are becoming red flags for possible flashpoints.

That the power relations in the Asian region continue to be in a state of flux complicates attempts to address both traditional and emerging challenges to stability in the region.We are witnessing now the new reality of a regional architecture with an increasing number of players and stakeholders being reconstructed and built along many lines of engagement.

We see the rise of China that has stronger economic clout, greater political influence and developing military might; a United States that has rebalanced itself to Asia and is reinforcing its position as a Pacific power; a resurgent Japan that is reassessing its own self-defense posture; an India that is looking and acting East; a Russia that is increasing its capabilities in the region; and an ASEAN that is on its way to establishing its own Economic Community.

Against this backdrop of relations, the imperatives for economic interdependence provide the driving incentive for nations to be drawn together, but the compulsion to assert sovereign interests at the same time also acts as apowerful force keeping certain regional shareholders apart. Nowhere is the interplay of these factors more evident and critical than in the South China Sea.

Economic progress alongside geopolitical security tensions, this is the East Asian dichotomy, our new reality with which we must all grapple.

South China Sea: Resources and Access

Asia’s economic success rides heavily on the freedom of navigation and overflight of its waters, particularly in the South China Sea.

Both commercial and naval vessels ply these waters serving as a crucial nautical highway, the South China Sea is nothing short of being a vital artery in connecting and integrating production bases and markets.

Consider the following:

  • As a semi-enclosed sea, the SCS provides rich fishing grounds for the nationals of littoral states. Over 500 million people in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Viet Nam, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, Brunei and the Philippines live within 100 miles of the SCS. Many of them depend on the SCS for sustenance and livelihood.
  • The SCS currently accounts for one-tenth of the world’s global fisheries catch and hosts a multi-billion dollar fishing industry. The SCS also has ecological importance. The coral reefs in the SCS provide breeding ground for high-value fisheries and support the sustainability of the waters as fishing grounds.
  • The SCS serves as trade channels and economic lifelines used for global commercial shipping energy transportation and naval fleets.
  • Its importance as a Sea Lane of Communication (SLOC) cannot be over-stated: By cargo tonnage, more than half of the world’s merchant fleet passes through SCS; around 40,000 ships pass through the SCS every year. Sea traffic is three times that of the Suez Canal and 15 times that of the Panama Canal.
  • For international trade shipping in the SCS, goods volume of raw material and food takes up more than 90% of total freight volume.
  • The SCS is one of the most important energy trade routes in the world with over a third of crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) passing through it annually. Large quantities of coal from Australia and Indonesiaalso pass through the SCS to markets around the world, especially to China, Japan and India. These coal shipments include both steam coal used for generating electricity and process heat as well as metallurgical coal that is a key ingredient in primary steel production.
  • The SCS is said to have11 billion barrels of oil and 190 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in proved and probable reserves.

South China Sea: The Stakes Involved

Clearly, the interests of many nations come to a head in the SCS. Given the resources and the access issues involved, exercising the ability to explore, develop and utilize the resources therein – or preventing others from doing so - constitutes a major point of sovereign concern for many nations.

The dispute in the South China Sea - rooted in conflicting territorial claims over islands, rocks and reefs above water at high tide as well as conflicting maritime claims over maritime zones –directly involve Brunei Darussalam, China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Viet Nam, and the Chinese province of Taiwan.

Increasingly aggressive, belligerent and expansive behavior by one claimant, in particular, namely China, is provocative and further complicates an already tense milieu.

Beijing’s recent actions are clearly intended to change the status quo in the South China Sea to its unilateral advantage.

China asserts “indisputable sovereignty” over the islands and waters of almost the entire South China Sea as seen in its 9-dashed line claim.

These 9-dashes - with no corresponding fixed coordinates - form a U-shaped area of the South China Sea. These encompass and enclose almost 90% of the entire South China Sea. China’s 9-dash line claim seeks to convert the South China Sea into Beijing’s lake.

Asserting its “indisputable sovereignty” over the 9-dashed line area, China is preventing other countries from exercising their maritime rights over South China Sea’s waters which otherwise would have been allowed under the United Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS).

As we all know, UNCLOS provides for the rights and responsibilities of nations with regard to the world’s waters. UNCLOS was established precisely to give order to the use of the world’s waters and to regulate the behavior of States in the use of these waters.

With 166 States Parties, UNCLOS is considered the constitution of the world’s oceans, adherence to the principles and provisions of which are key to the sustainable and orderly use of the world’s waterways, including in the South China Sea.

UNCLOS prescribes the behavior and provides the rights and entitlements of littoral states and other stakeholders in various zones – from the territorial sea, to the contiguous zone, to the 200 nautical mile-exclusive economic zone, the continental shelf and in the areas beyond national jurisdiction.

Yet with its 9-dash line assertion in the South China Sea, Chinaeffectively appropriates to itself the enjoyment and exercise of maritime rights in the islands and features and all the waters surrounding them, to the exclusion and detriment of the littoral states’ and even of states desiring innocent passage or overflight.

In plain and simple terms, the 9-dash lines has this effect on the maritime rights of the littoral states in the South China Sea: The Philippines loses about 80% of its EEZ facing the West Philippine Sea; Malaysia loses also about 80% of its EEZ facing the South China Sea, as well as most of its active gas and oil fields in the same area; Vietnam on the other hand loses about 50% of its total EEZ; Brunei Darussalam loses about 90% of its total EEZ; and Indonesia loses about 30% of its EEZ facing the South China Sea in Natuna Islands, whose surrounding waters comprise the largest gas field in Southeast Asia.

Recently, China has likewise strongly asserted itself in the South China Sea by accelerating the building of artificial islands through massive reclamation over disputed submerged features. Now, China’s clear intent to build on these artificial islands and to militarize the area has become apparent.

This has resulted in counter-actions from other statesthat do not recognize China’s assertion of sovereignty over these features.

An unstable South China Sea does not advance the interest of any claimant state nor of the international community. Instability in the South China Sea is not a permanent condition that the Philippines desires. What the Philippines aspires to is to bring greater stability and more predictable behavior in the South China Sea based on the rule of law.

It is with this goal in mind that the Philippines is undertaking a two-pronged approach to the situation in the South China Sea grounded firmly on adherence to the rule of law: firstly,tension reduction; and secondly, peaceful settlement of disputes.

Philippine diplomacy and tension reduction

The Philippines seeks to reduce tension between and among the claimants of the South China Sea and is harnessing its entire diplomatic machinery to meaningfully engage stakeholders in bilateral and multilateral fora.

As a founding member of the United Nations and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the Philippines is committed to easing friction between and among states in dispute.

In disputes, conflict should never be considered inevitable. Disputes should be an opportunity to engage concerned parties in dialogue.

In the South China Sea issue, the Philippines placesimportance on the building of a rules-based regional architecture, given the complexity of the issue and the number of stakeholders involved both within and outside the South China Sea.

While the region continues to evolve, ASEAN’s central role – and its relations with dialogue partners – will continue to be vital. And indeed, ASEAN has provided the opportunity for the Philippines to pursue the reduction of tension in the South China Sea.

The Declaration on the Code of Conduct (DOC) in the South China Sea brought ASEAN and China together to determine ways of addressing the simmering tension in the area.

While there is room for greater positive and practical results based on the DOC, the timely conclusion of a Code of Conduct in the South China Sea remains unattainable owing to China’s seeming reluctance to engage in frank and open discussion through multilateral negotiations.

The Philippines is nevertheless committed to pursue this track.

Diplomacyand the Peaceful Settlement of Disputes

The Philippines believes firmly that the international legal framework exists to provide better clarity to issues in dispute and that, equally as important, this international legal framework exists to encourage States to participate meaningfully and achieve the peaceful settlement of disputes.

The Philippines places great faith on the equalizing power of international law. Resort to the rule of law allows small countries, such as my own, to stand on an equal footing with wealthier and more powerful States, confident in the conviction that right prevails over might.

As such, the Philippines is undertaking the legal track, provided for under UNCLOS, to seek better clarity of the issues involved in the South China Sea.

I wish to point out that we resorted to arbitration after our many bilateral exchanges with China to resolve our dispute did not prosper. China has unreasonably insisted that the Philippines must recognize and accept its sovereignty over the entire South China Sea before meaningful discussion of other issues could take place.

It has been claimed as well – almost as gospel truth by certain Chinese officials and academicians – that Asians do not go to court against each other. Singapore’s Ambassador at large Tommy Koh pointed out that this is incorrect, citing that Southeast Asian countries have a positive track record of referring their disputes to the international legal process, among them: The PreahVihear case between Cambodia and Thailand; The Sipadan and Ligatan case between Indonesia and Malaysia; The PedraBranca/PulauBatuPuteh case between Malaysia and Singapore; and, the Myanmar Bangladesh case.

Additionally, Ambassador Koh also cited the positive attitude of South Asia towards dispute settlement, with India leading the way.

Former ITLOS President ShunjiYanai shares Ambassador Koh’s observation, saying that based on the cases submitted to the ICJ and ITLOS, Asian States have become important and active clients of third-party settlement procedures, especially in the field of law of the sea, implying how important the rule of law at sea is for states in Asia.

The Philippines too is mindful that under the 1982 Manila Declaration on the Peaceful Settlement of International Disputes, recourse to judicial settlement of legal disputes, should not be considered an unfriendly act between States.

With these objectives in mind, the Philippines brought the issue of the South China Sea for arbitration under the UNCLOS.

Such an effort deserves support of stakeholders and the international community because the case seeks to clarifyissues on the rights and entitlements of States regarding in the South China Sea.

The arbitration case likewise deserves support because the proceedings will serve to strengthen the role of UNCLOS as the constitution of the world’s oceans. Resort to arbitration will also strengthen the international legal regime upon which more and more states have been resorting too.

As I indicated earlier, India, in particular, has shown the way for Member States to adhere to the rule of law and to seek the peaceful settlement of international disputes.

In bringing the case of the Maritime Boundary in the Bay of Bengal to court, India has respected fully the decision of the ITLOS.

Apart from this case, India has, by its own efforts also sought to settle border disputes peacefully as in the case of the Land Border Agreement between Bangladesh and India which was recently ratified.

The South China Sea dispute, because of its global significance, has attracted increasing concern from the international community as well. ASEAN, the EU, some individual European countries, the G-7, the United States, Japan and India have all expressed such concerns. They have also called for the reduction of tensions, for the avoidance of destabilizing activities and for the peaceful settlement of disputes.

The Philippine Arbitration Case

In bringing the case to arbitration, the Philippines wishes to make it clear that is not seeking a resolution of territorial sovereignty issues.

The Philippines understands that the jurisdiction of the tribunal convened under UNCLOS is limited to questions that concern the law of the sea.

In bringing the case to arbitration, the Philippines holds that the China’s 9-dash line claims are illegal, expansive and arbitrary.

The Philippines claims are as follows:

  1. China is not entitled to exercise what it refers to as “historic rights” over the waters, seabed and subsoil beyond the limits of its entitlements under the Convention
  2. The so-called nine dash line has no basis whatsoever under international law insofar as it purports to define the limits of China’s claim to “historic rights”;
  3. The various maritime features relied upon by China as a basis upon which to assert its claims in the South China Sea are not islands that generate entitlement to an exclusive economic zone or continental shelf. Rather, some are “rocks” within the meaning of Article 121, paragraph 3; others are low-tide elevations; and still others are permanently submerged. As a result, none are capable of generating entitlements beyond 12NM, and some generate no entitlements at all. China’s recent massive reclamation activities cannot lawfully change the original nature and character of these features
  4. China has breached the Convention by interfering with the Philippines’ exercise of its sovereign rights and jurisdiction; and,
  5. China has irreversibly damaged the regional marine environment, in breach of UNCLOS, by its destruction of coral reefs in the South China Sea, including areas within the Philippines’ EEZ, by its destructive and hazardous fishing practices, and by its harvesting and poaching of endangered species.

Philippine Aspirations

In pursuing this arbitration case, the Philippines believes that a ruling will benefit not only the direct stakeholders but also the entire international community.

By ruling on the validity of the 9-dash lines, the maritime entitlements for the littoral states and those that depend on the South China Sea as an international waterway will be clarified.

This is an initiative, therefore, that deserves the support of the entire international community.

It is important for all concerned friends, including India, to do their utmost to promote a regional security architecture built squarely on the rule of law, and in the case of the South China Sea, on the UNCLOS.

The dialogue-centered approach espoused by India to security cooperation in our region remains relevant, bearing in mind the diversity and plurality of security systems in the Asia-Pacific.

That India has an important role to play in this regard has been recognized. In fact, India has been urged by ASEAN to assume a greater role in the regional security architecture.

India recognized this cap and launched its Look East Policy over two decades ago. This was followed by the Act East Policy which India announced recently.

India’s efforts to implement its Act East Policy through concrete action is commendable, particularly one promoting greater connectivity between our regions, including through the successful implementation of the Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity.

The day when our people travel more frequently between our countries will be the day when India and ASEAN will cease being relative strangers to one another.

Indeed, only when we join together in the endeavors that strengthen the international legal framework and encourage nations to resort to the mechanisms identified can we hope to have a more peaceful and stable world.

It is during these times that a country that is known for erecting walls must recognize the importance of building bridges of dialogue.

The Philippines’commitment to the rule of law and the peaceful settlement of disputes remains steadfast.

India can count on the Philippines to advance this principled position, as well.

The Philippines is confident of India’s steadfastness in supporting the rule of law and the peaceful settlement of disputes.

South East Asia and Oceania
An Assessment of Organisational Change in the Indian Army May 08, 2015 Vivek Chadha 1030 to 1300 hrs Fellows' Seminar

Chairperson: Lt. Gen. Satish Nambiar (Retd.)
External Discussants: Brig. Gurmeet Kanwal (Retd.), Brig. Rahul Bhonsle (Retd.)
Internal Discussants: Gp. Capt. Ajey Lele (Retd.), Col. Vijai Singh Rana

The paper analysed military change in the context of the Indian Army, with specific focus on organisational innovation and change. It specifically looked at two case studies – the restructuring of the army after the Sino-Indian war of 1962 and the drive towards mechanisation based on the 1975 expert committee recommendations. The paper then assessed the drivers for organisational change in the Indian Army, with the further aim of deriving policy recommendations which could be apt in light of the ongoing transformation of the Indian Army.

The paper identified operational environment and technology as the principle drivers for change. It stated that successful change required supportive political leadership, professional and visionary military leadership, long-term strategic assessment, strong institutional structures and follow up action. The author used the two case studies in relation to conventional threats. The first related to changes post 1962, which led to an increase in the size of the army by almost 33 per cent. It also saw the raising of divisions which were tailored to the needs of mountain warfare.

The second case study assesses the 1975 committee recommendations which were successful in aiding the army’s drive towards mechanisation. Not only was the organisational structure transformed, the resultant innovations had a lasting impact on the strategic thought of the army, which continued to guide subsequent adaptations thereafter. The author also pointed to pertinent aspects related to organisational change after the 1999 Kargil conflict and Operation Parakram in 2001, besides noting changes related to the ongoing transformation.

Major Points of Discussion and Suggestions to the Author

  • It was pointed out that political support for carrying out military change was very crucial. Top level political intervention was important to achieve unity of thought and unity of purpose. This was particularly relevant in the Indian context where turf war was a glaring feature of the armed forces and the absence of the Chief of Defence Staff affected unity of thought and action. It was noted that political leadership in India has been more than encouraging in this regard. Though lacking an institutional mechanism of interface between top political leadership and the armed forces, many chiefs have successfully won over political support for bringing about organisational change.
  • The aim of military change should be to have a capability-based force and threat-based force existing simultaneously to deal with the challenges being posed in an era of strategic uncertainty.
    Apart from operational environment and technology being drivers of change, it was noted that post-1962, changes were largely driven by doctrinal shift in thinking.
  • A crucial area of military change related to professional military education and training. The aim of military education and training should be to train for certainty and educate for uncertainty to deal with broad military challenges and threats.
  • The absence of a national security strategy has led to the rise of service-specific doctrines, which are linear in approach and lack a broad national outlook.
  • The sense of the house was that the Indian army fought bravely in the 1962 war. If not for some strategic miscalculations and a degree of misfortune, Indian army would have turned the tables on the Chinese despite facing all odds. Moreover, the engagement of Air Force would have significantly altered the course of the war. Most importantly, the war did not shatter the morale of the Indian Army, contrary to the common perception because our soldiers fought fearlessly and ferociously. It was largely the failure of top level military/political leadership. The Indian army would do well to look inward for its failures as this will pave the way for course correction.
  • It was suggested that the paper should look into the aspect of organisational change pertaining to staff. The teeth-to-tail ratio, recruitment policy and restructuring of the organisation merited the attention of the author.
  • The nature of change should be analysed in order to understand whether change is reactive in nature or whether it was shaping the battlefield favourably.
  • The Kargil review committee was the first attempt at evolving a comprehensive national security system engaging all three services. The Krishna Rao report primarily dealt with the army. In an era of jointness, efforts to bring about change in the army must find a resonance among the other services. A tri-service approach looking at change would bring far greater dividends than a service-specific approach. In this context, post-Kargil reform process needed to be better analysed.
  • The Indian army aimed to achieve the capacity of network-enabled to network-centric warfare capability but has not been able to do so. It should be explored as to what are the reasons behind our inability to achieve this capability. Similarly, the aspect of cyber warfare should be included in the paper to understand the phenomenon of change in its entirety.

Report prepared by Amit Kumar, Research Assistant, IDSA.

Terrorism & Internal Security
Strengthening Nuclear Security: Compliance to the Principal Legal Instruments of Nuclear Security May 29, 2015 Reshmi Kazi 1030 to 1300 hrs Fellows' Seminar

Chair: Dr Arvind Kumar
External Discussants: Dr Sitakanta Mishra and Dr Manish Dhabade
Internal Discussants: Mr S Samuel C Rajiv and Ms Sourabhi Mukherji

Presentation

Nuclear security concerns during the Cold War era revolved around the concepts of nuclear deterrence and nuclear proliferation. However, in the 21st century, due to increased globalization, political instability and terrorist activities around the world, there is a greater threat of theft, sabotage, unauthorized access, illegal transfer or other malicious acts involving nuclear or other radioactive substance. In this context the author in this paper points to the urgency of having an international consensus on building a more robust nuclear system with legal instruments which would be put in place to prevent the misuse of sensitive nuclear and radiological material by terrorists. Dr Kazi in her paper highlights the gaps in the nuclear security system where there are no substantial legal instruments that have been developed to control the transfer of these sensitive materials to miscreants. A stronger nuclear security system is also needed due the existence of nuclear weapons in domestically unstable and politically volatile regions. In such places, the nuclear facilities are susceptible to vulnerabilities like accidents, miscalculations, sabotage and pilferage. Therefore, a nuclear security system with legal instruments would allow more effective regulation and make individual states more accountable for the safety of their nuclear capabilities. Hence, the need for international cooperation to control nuclear/radioactive sources around the world is of paramount importance for the prevention of nuclear terrorism and ensuring global security.
Dr Kazi looks at three existing critical instruments for strengthening nuclear security:

  • Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material (CPPNM) of 1980
    • It is the only legally binding international instrument in the area of physical protection of nuclear material
    • Its primary objective is to facilitate the safe transfer of nuclear materials.
  • Amendment to the CPPNM OF 2005
    • Senior Expert Group for the Review of the IAEA’s Programme of Activities recommended that a possible revision on the CPPNM should be done to address the issues of prevention of unauthorized possession of nuclear material and access to nuclear facilities
    • 2005 CPPNM amendment emphasised the importance of sharing best practices that would be critical to developing a stringent physical protection system.
  • International Convention for the Suppression of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism (ICSANT) of 2005
    • Prevention of the misuse of nuclear/radiological materials.
    • Requires State-parties to make every effort to adopt appropriate measures to ensure the protection of radioactive material, taking into account relevant recommendations and functions of the agency.

These three legal instruments urge cooperation for the prevention, repression and elimination of terrorism in all forms and calls upon states to criminalize offences related to the misuse of nuclear/radioactive materials. However, Dr Kazi argues that despite all these efforts, the legal instruments mentioned above remain ineffective and lack universality. One of the reasons for their ineffectiveness is complacency. Since in reality no incident of this sort has taken place, there is no urgency in complying with a nuclear security system to protect nuclear/radioactive material. Second, is the lack of universality, as countries that do not have stockpiles of nuclear/radioactive material do not feel the need to implement effective controls on nuclear material. Nevertheless, the author argues that State-parties and non-state parties have the prime responsibility of generating the requisite political will for an effective implementation of these legal instruments. If need be, incremental transparency in nuclear matters can be effected to generate confidence about its security concerns which could in the future help to produce a necessary political will for making these legal instruments universal.

Discussion and Suggestions

  • The history and evolution of terrorism and the way it has been tackled by states have to be mentioned in the context of nuclear/radioactive materials falling into the wrong hands.
  • Historical debates surrounding the legal instruments for nuclear security system should be elaborated.
  • The difference between nuclear security and nuclear safety has to be mentioned and also how the former is evolving in comparison to the latter.
  • Evolution and reforms made in the various Nuclear Security Summits have to be included to have a more comprehensive understanding of the evolution of nuclear security.
  • The politics behind non-compliance should be an integral part of the argument to highlight the lack of universality for the nuclear security system at the international level.
  • The nature of the balancing act has to be taken into consideration in the management of nuclear terrorism and nuclear proliferation.
  • The human element or negligence of security of nuclear facilities domestically has to be taken into consideration.

(Report prepared by Ms. Kuhoo Saxena, Research Intern, IDSA)

Nuclear and Arms Control
India’s Decision Making on Cross Border Natural Gas Pipelines (1989-2012) May 29, 2015 Sanket Sudhir Kulkarni 1030 to 1300 hrs Fellows' Seminar

Chair: Dr. Gulshan Dietl
External Discussants: Ms. Lidya Powell and Mr. Ragunatha Mishra
Internal Discussants: Dr. Smriti Pattnaik and Dr. Uttam Kumar Sinha

In the 21st century a nation’s economy thrives on its efficient and boundless use of energy. In this context, India holds one of the largest markets of energy consumption in the world. Therefore, energy security has become the paramount focus of Indian Foreign policy. To achieve this goal, India is pursuing a broad range of options to diversify its energy sources. It ranges from LNG deals, buying oil and gas spot markets, acquisition of oil and gas fields abroad, etc. One of the options is sourcing of energy supplies from neighbours (immediate and distant) through pipelines because of India’s comparative advantages in transportation costs as compared to other modes such as LNG. In this frame of reference, Government of India identified three natural gas pipeline options: IPI (Iran-Pakistan-India), TAPI (Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India) and MBI (Myanmar-Bangladesh-India). Kulkarni’s paper focuses on the decision making process involved on these natural gas pipeline projects from 1989 to 2012 and the factors that have influenced India’s decision making on cross border natural gas pipelines.

The paper examines the decision making process in this regard by using “Rational Actor Model Theory”, which is based on cost benefit analysis and Masuda’s condition for Cross Border Pipelines. Kulkarni investigates the rationale behind India’s joining these projects which are costly and geopolitically controversial. The paper also attempts to understand India’s reasons for pursuing TAPI over IPI and MBI.

Kulkarni acknowledges that there is a clash between India’s need for energy security and its strategic interest. Hence, taking this into account, he recommends evolving a balance between the two.

Key Points from discussion:

  • The paper discuss appropriate financial regime and commercial viability through cost benefit analysis. At the centre of any such decision making exercise should be the evolution of a balance between the management of geopolitical risk and commercial viability.
  • The energy demand in India is huge. However, the demand is unmet because it cannot be transformed into purchasing power. Absence of stakeholders for using LNG to generate power is one example.
  • Why is the government reluctant to pursue gas projects as it has simultaneously pursued projects for LNG ports?
  • Any analysis of decision making must include the agencies, organisational structure and authorities involved in decision making. A critical examination of the decision making process is required.
  • Whether any inter-ministerial conflict existed in the government during the course of decision making and implementation of the projects has to be taken into consideration.
  • The decision on applying the Rational Actor Theory and ‘Masuda’s’ model in the context of South Asia must be taken into consideration. A special focus is needed to understand the TAPI gas pipeline given the internal dynamics of India and Pakistan. One of the decision making models that is well suited for the conditions prevailing in South Asia is Richard Snyder’s.
  • The reasons for the government to opt for IPI, TAPI and MBI rather that Oman–India pipeline or SAGE Pipeline should be carefully analysed. The analysis should also include the costs involved.
  • Any decision making process on energy projects must include the following:
    • Provision of providing excess to energy to every one
    • Securing energy supply
    • Trying to limit carbon emissions
    • Implementation of choices and alternatives of decision-making process must be in compliance with India’s fiscal and environment policies.
    • Gas pipeline construction must be looked at from the perspective of strategic investment. The presence of Iran and Unites States in this region should be taken into consideration.

(Report prepared by Satyam Malaviya, Research Intern, IDSA)

Non-Traditional Security
India in Global Governance: Engaging the Counter-Terrorism Regime May 22, 2015 Arpita Anant 1030 to 1300 hrs Fellows' Seminar

Chair: Mr. G. K. Pillai
External Discussants: Dr. Suresh K. Goel and Dr. Rana Banerji
Internal Discussants: Dr. Vinod Kumar and Dr. Saurabh Mishra

Presentation

The paper focuses on the counter-terrorism regime and highlights that there is a gap in the literature in demonstrating India’s evolving role in the norm building process of this regime. In the paper the author focuses on the post-Cold War period and uses the counter-terrorism regime as a case-study to assess whether India’s engagement has been substantial to the global governance of counter-terrorism. There have been studies of India’s role in the counter-terrorism regime but they all focus on the years after the 9/11 incident. However, Dr. Anant argues that India has been very active and constructive with its engagement with counter-terrorism regime since much earlier. Some examples of India’s constructive contribution in the counter-terrorism regime were:

  • India had played an important role in the drafting of the General Assembly Resolution 40/6 in 1987. India firmly believed that the underlying causes have to be mitigated in order to end the menace of terrorism. India also recognized the difference between terrorism and movements of self-determination and at the same time was wary of terrorism perpetrated by mercenaries with a view to undermining territorial integrity.
  • In 1991, speaking on the subject of violence related to movements of national liberation, India held on to its pre-Cold War position that it recognized the right of self defence of legitimate national liberation movements.
  • With regard to terrorism and human rights, after the Declaration of Human Rights in 1993, India in this context, while referring to Pakistan’s involvement in the 1993 Mumbai attacks, in a country report on human rights in the Third Committee of General Assembly in 1993, said that terrorism was the greatest impediment to the realization of human rights.
  • At the plenary of the General Assembly in 1995, India was critical of United Nations doing nothing to defend democracies from extremists and other violent threats.
  • After the adoption of the International Convention for the Suppression of Terrorist Bombings in 1997, India pushed the General Assembly to fulfill the commitment made in Resolution 51/210 and set up an Ad Hoc Committee to first adopt an international convention for the suppression of acts of nuclear terrorism and, then a comprehensive convention on international terrorism.

The paper highlights that India played a crucial role in sponsoring and supporting many resolutions on counter-terrorism in the post-Cold War period. For example:

  • In 1996, India tabled the Draft International Convention on Suppression of Terrorism in the General Assembly, which aimed to deal with state support to terrorism. India was much ahead of developed states in pointing out the menace of state sponsored terrorism.
  • In 1997, India co-sponsored a draft resolution on Human Rights and Terrorism, which was adopted in 1999.
  • India was the lone country that voted against paragraphs 10 and 11 in the debate of Draft resolution A/C.3/58/L.71: Protection of human rights and fundamental freedoms while countering terrorism in 2003, which made no reference to violation of human rights by terrorists.
  • In 2000, the General Assembly took up for discussion India’s Draft Comprehensive Convention of International Terrorism.
  • In 2002, India co-sponsored the Draft Resolution on Hostage Taking and introduced the resolution on Measures to prevent terrorists from acquiring weapons of mass destruction in the General Assembly.
    And in 2006, India supported and joined the Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy Adopted by the General Assembly.

Also, India has been regular in its commitment to the counter-terrorism regime by submitting reports to the concerned UN committees regarding the action it has taken at the national and international levels to curb the menace of terrorism. India has also been vocal in pointing out the problems of non-compliance with anti-terrorism conventions and has urged that a way be found to punish states that abet terrorism. India has made suggestions to make the Counter-Terrorism Committee more effective and accountable through getting more feedback from countries, increase in interaction between countries and seeking reports to identify violations. Based on all this, Dr. Anant concludes that India has gone much beyond using existing systems to highlight its concerns regarding international terrorism and the evidence adduced above reiterates the fact that India has been a constructive player in the multilateral counter-terrorism regime.

Discussion

  • It is important to mention how the Indian government’s position and thinking has changed over the years on the issue of terrorism and how this has been shown through our engagement at the international level.
  • Highlighting the difference in the understanding of terrorism and which definition does India support is important.
  • Domestic imperative for international suggestions by India has to be mentioned.
  • Receptivity to India’s responses with regards to international financing mechanisms of terrorism should be considered.
  • International monitoring and how India is coping with it internally is of significance.
  • Politics of regime building, partnership and structural review of the regime should be mentioned as part of the argument.
  • Contextualization of global and internal terrorism and a link between the two have to be established.
  • A watershed event has to be mentioned to show the changes in India’s approach to terrorism at the international level.
  • Reasons for the failure to build coalitions on terrorism for furthering India’s national interest should be considered.
  • Policy recommendations on how India should form coalitions so it can put its view across at the international level should be analyzed.
  • Politics of compliance and the role of powerful nations should be considered and how has India contributed tobettering compliance among nations should also be included.
  • India’s role as norm taker or norm maker should be clearly identified.
  • Support by other countries for India at the counter-terrorism regime should be mentioned and also it is important to indicate as to which group India belongs to at the international level.

(This report has been prepared by Ms. Kuhoo Saxena, Research Intern, IDSA)

Africa, Latin America, Caribbean & UN
Iran Sanctions and India May 15, 2015 S. Samuel C. Rajiv Fellows' Seminar

Chair: Prof. Girijesh Pant
External Discussants: Prof. Gulshan Dietl, Nidhi Verma
Internal Discussants: Dr. G. Balachandran, Shebonti Ray Dadwal

The paper examined the sanctions imposed by the UN Security Council (UNSC), the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) against Iran in the aftermath of the Iranian nuclear issue being referred to the UNSC in February 2006 and the responses and implications for India as a result of these measures. UNSC sanctions primarily involved asset freezes of and travel bans on entities and individuals connected with Iran’s nuclear and missile programmes. India took executive actions to conform to UNSC sanctions measures and prevent possible misuse. These were however in continuation of measures it had been taking prior to 2006 as well (like the June 2005 WMD Act), which strengthened its regulatory and legislative mechanisms for preventing the sale of WMD-related materials and technology to wrong hands. The paper dwelt on some pertinent issues relating to the Iran-O-Hind shipping Company (IHSC), which was specifically targeted by UNSCR 1929 of June 2010.

US and EU sanctions targeting Iran’s crude oil exports have had a significant impact on major importers like India. These measures were based on the contention that Iran was using oil revenues to fund WMD-related programmes, a concern that was first raised in the preamble to UNSCR 1929. The foundational US sanctions legislation targeting Iran’s petroleum sector was the Iran and Libya Sanctions Act (ILSA) of 1996, which became the Iran Sanctions Act (ISA) in 2006. The paper gave a brief account of the legislation, as well as changes carried out in ISA as part of the Comprehensive Iran Sanctions and Divestment Act (CISADA) of 2010. CISADA further imposed restrictions on the sale of refined petroleum products to Iran, affecting Indian companies like Reliance. Section 1245 of National Defence Authorisation Act (NDAA) 2012 targeted the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) for the first time and called for ‘significant reductions’ of imports of Iranian crude and prescribed exemptions from sanctions if a country did so. Section 504 of the Iran Threat Reduction and Syria Human Rights Act (ITRSHRA) severely curtailed Iran’s foreign exchange earnings by mandating that funds owed to Iran as a result of bilateral trade in goods and services be “credited to an account located in the country with primary jurisdiction over the foreign financial institutions.”

The EU Decision of July 2010 and the subsequent EU Regulation of October 2010 (specifically Article 10) impacted payment mechanisms like the Asian Clearing Union (ACU) which India was using to pay for Iranian oil. Further, prohibition on the provision of insurance services (Article 12) by European-based insurance providers for ships transporting Iranian crude had a negative impact on Indian refineries. The paper briefly described the impact and responses of Indian oil companies like the Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CPCL) and Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) to these measures, as indicated in their annual reports.

The US and EU sanctions measures led to a significant reduction in India’s import of Iranian crude, which came down to less than five per cent of the total imports in 2014-15, from 13 per cent in 2009-10. Indian policy makers have also often cited the prevailing sanctions regime as negatively affecting India’s investments in Iran’s energy sector. The paper gave a brief account of the status of the agreements signed between Indian and Iranian companies including the December 2009 agreement for the South Pars Phase-II and Farzad-B gas field, IOCL ‘s investments in the Farsi Block, among others. The paper closed by noting some of the pertinent developments in the post-Joint Plan of Action (JPOA) period, including the significant role played by Indian oil companies in JPOA sanctions relief. It ended by noting that the sequencing of sanctions relief as part of a comprehensive nuclear deal would have a bearing on the nature of Iran’s oil trade with key energy partners like India.

Discussion and Suggestions to the Author

  • India is not the only state affected by sanctions. It will be interesting to know how other countries have coped with these measures.
  • China for instance seems to be more adept at engaging economically with Iran, though it is also circumscribed by the same sanctions and it is also part of the P5+1. China has also apparently built a business centre and is in the process of building a petrochemical complex in Chabahar.
  • Aspects regarding India’s recent decision to go ahead with investing in Chabahar could be explored. What material changes if any has resulted in this decision?
  • An exploration of the context surrounding these various sanctions measures would be useful. What were the reasons underpinning the increase in the nature of sanctions targeting Iran’s petro-chemical sector from 2010 onwards? An examination of US as well as Iran’s domestic political and energy context would throw more light on the issue.
  • The author was urged to conduct interviews with retired or serving policy makers to the extent possible to get inputs on some of the aspects covered in the paper.
  • Some forward-looking aspects in terms of policy recommendations could be incorporated into the paper, including on such issues like the possible impact of an impending deal on Indian businesses and oil companies as well as on India’s balance of trade with Iran. It was pointed out that India would be dealing with a ‘different Iran’ in the aftermath of a nuclear deal.
  • The paper could explore US-EU interaction on the issue of sanctions vis-à-vis Iran and see if there were any divergences or convergences over the issue, especially since EU countries were significant importers of Iranian oil prior to 2012.
  • Regional dynamics specifically the role of Saudi Arabia and the nature of increase in its oil exports in the aftermath of sanctions targeting Iran could be highlighted.
  • US pressure on India vis-à-vis its energy trade with Iran as well as investments in Iran’s energy infrastructure and view towards projects like IPI can be included.

Report prepared by Sourabhi Mukherjee, Research Intern, Nuclear and Arms Control Centre, IDSA.

Nuclear and Arms Control
Third India-Africa Strategic Dialogue: India-Africa: Building Synergies in Peace, Security and Development March 03, 2015 to March 04, 2015 1030 to 1300 hrs Conference Africa, Latin America, Caribbean & UN

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