China-Taiwan Relations

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  • Cross-Strait Relations: The Lull before the Storm?

    The new direction of Cross-Strait relations, for better or worse, is largely expected only after the 19th CPC Congress in October-November 2017.

    November 23, 2016

    Can Taiwan Talk ‘Political’ with the Mainland?

    An investigation into the prospects for including political talks in the cross-strait dialogue enables a better assessment of cross-strait relations. China’s push for political talks and Taiwan’s resistance to them imply that their political positions on the fundamental issues of sovereignty and ‘living space’ for Taiwan remain unchanged. Considering Taiwan’s complex domestic political scenario, which is largely against unification with Mainland China, the likelihood of Taiwan agreeing to political talks for unification is remote.

    May 2015

    Significance of Japan-Taiwan Fishery Pact

    Recently concluded Japan-Taiwan Fishery Pact warrants careful monitoring of the Cross-Strait relations as the pact displeases China.

    May 01, 2013

    The Military Confidence Building Measures Strategy Across the Taiwan Strait

    On December 31, 2008, the President of China, Hu Jintao, gave an important speech
    on the eve of the 30th anniversary of “A letter to the Taiwan compatriots” dated
    January 1, 1979, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.

    July 2011

    History and Politics; Critiquing the PRC’s Approach to the 1911 Centenary Celebrations

    Celebrations of the 1911 Revolution show that history is subject to interpretations, most often in the ways in which it suits contemporary political objectives.

    October 13, 2011

    Seeking Truth from Facts: The Sino-Taiwanese Trade Pact

    While the economies of China and Taiwan are getting integrated and there has been increasing contact between the people across the strait, the two sides are maintaining a studied silence on unification.

    July 22, 2010

    Ankur asked: What is the probability of success of a attack on Taiwan by PLA in coming decade or so?

    Jagannath P. Panda replies: I don’t think the PLA would be really plotting for an attack on Taiwan in coming times. Currently, the Cross-Strait ties are at their best after the KMT’s victory in Taiwan in last general election. China would like to consolidate this trend, instead of planning for an attack. Since the day Ma Ying-Jeou’s party has come to power in Taiwan, Cross-Strait ties have improved a lot, and the normal public discussion in Taiwan is to maintain the ‘status-quo’, and improve bilateral relations with mainland China instead of advocating for ‘independence’. In fact, the Taiwanese are progressively realizing the implications of ‘Rise of China’ in global politics today; particularly in economic terms. The Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) signed recently between China and Taiwan is indicative of this. For its part, the Chinese government is happy to see TaiwanChina. For Chinese political leaders, the integration of Taiwan with mainland China is one of the top long-term foreign policy objectives. The latest ECFA is seen as a prelude to the peaceful unification process in the longer term. Many Chinese leaders and experts feel that ‘unification’ with Taiwan is just a matter of time, and they could achieve this task without really using force or plotting an attack. ‘Peaceful unification’ is a long-term strategy in Chinese foreign policy dialogue. That would also help China to consolidate its image as a ‘responsive and responsible’ power at many levels, especially when the PRC aims to become a super power.

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