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Emerging contours of Iran-China Relations: An Overview March 28, 2014 M. Mahtab Alam Rizvi Fellows' Seminar

Chairperson: Amb Ishrat Aziz
External Discussants: Prof A K Pasha and Prof Qamar Agha
Internal Discussants: Col Rajeev Agrawal and Dr Prashant Kumar Singh

The paper holistically examines the nature, scope and direction of Iran-China bilateral relations. The author, in this study, highlights dimensions of political and economic intimacy between Tehran and Beijing and elaborates how the two nations figure in each other’s foreign policy. In the first section, author deals with the cooperative aspect of the bilateral engagements. A brief background of the Iran-China relations was discussed to place the issue in a historical framework. Civilizational encounters and exchanges were enumerated to suggest that leaders in both the nations cherish the historic memories to nurture and strengthen the relation. The author clearly identified five guiding principles namely; Ideological principles, Anti-Imperialism, Persian Nationalism, Self-Sufficiency and Islamic solidarity, to enunciate China’s position in Iran’s foreign policy matrix. In the ensuing sections, points of convergence of interest were discussed at length and important areas of cooperation were highlighted including; Political, Economic, Trade and Commerce, Investment, Energy and Defence. Intersection of Political relations was established in terms of diplomatic engagement between Iran and China even before the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Author gave a detailed account of the vibrant Economic and energy relations, trade dynamics and nature of capital investment flow, followed by specifics on energy and defence cooperation. The question of China’s support for Iran’s Nuclear Programme and China’s strategic balancing between Iran and the US was analyzed in detail. Beijing’s anti-Iran votes in the UN Security Council combined with its normal economic engagements with Tehran were mentioned, to argue that China has clearly adopted “Middle of the Road” approach towards Iran.

Furthermore, author succinctly brought out the challenges of Iran-China relations; with reference to US role in influencing their respective foreign policies. Changing public perception within Iran with regards to China was also discussed. In conclusion, author stated that China’s approach to Iran is being viewed as increasingly mercantilist and opportunistic, and thus took the position that despite flourishing economic ties, the bilateral relations are likely to be riddled with challenges.

Ambassador Ishrat Aziz recognized and appreciated author’s efforts to coherently analyze Iran-China relations. Thematic unity of the paper was acknowledged. He stated that no relation in contemporary foreign affairs is bilateral per se, and evidently most engagements are shaped by multilateral concerns. The need to discuss Iran and P5+1 nuclear talks and recent developments, was highlighted since it is likely to have repercussions on Iran-China relations.

Prof. A.K. Pasha acknowledged the author’s efforts to delve into the intricacies of Iran-Sino relations. He suggested the author to include Khomeini and Sassanid period while discussing the background of Iran-China relations. Dr. Pasha shared that increased movement of students between Iran and China was indicative of growing cultural exchange and the author was asked to analyze cultural aspect of Iran-China ties. It was further stated that foreign policies were not drafted in vacuum and thus there was a need to address the driving force behind Iran’s foreign policy; while dealing with the guiding principles. He also shared his insights on the role played by external players in the changing geo-political landscape of West Asia, and suggested the author to see how these external factors have influenced Iran-China relations.

Dr. Qamar Agha appreciated author’s holistic and descriptive approach to the subject, and highlighted scope for further analysis. He opined that Iran is now entering a new phase in its modern history, and is experimenting with its foreign policy. Despite international isolation, Iran exhibited an impressive growth over the last three decades; best reflected in its nuclear programme. Commenting on China’s policy, Dr. Agha raised the question of China-Pak intimacy and its likely impact on Sino-Iran ties. China’s policy of energy diversification was briefly discussed, and interestingly, GCC is now being viewed as a famous trade market by China. All these tectonic shifts suggest that” Neither East, Nor West policy” of Iran is unsustainable.

Col Rajeev Agarwal agreed with the major arguments put forward by the author and appreciated the author’s attempt to produce a comprehensive paper. He urged the author to clearly articulate the key findings of his study in the conclusion section and suggested that connecting foreign policy directive principles to the specific case of Iran-China bilateral engagement would add more value to the paper.

Dr. Prashant Singh appreciated the topical value and contemporary nature of the paper. He suggested the author to bring out the normative convergence of Iran and China’s foreign policy ideologies and stated that the major developments in Iran-China relations in the last ten years should be the main focus of the paper. Dr. Prashant stated that even though Iran’s perception within China was undergoing slow change, but impact of these perceptions on Iran’s foreign policy is not confirmed.

The discussion was followed by Question and Answer round. US role in influencing China’s and Iran’s respective foreign policy was discussed, along with impact of political transition in Tehran in August 2013 on Iran-China relations. Questions were raised on China’s strategic balance between Iran and Saudi Arabia; and how Saudi Arabia figured in China’s policy towards West Asia. It was mentioned that despite differences between Iran and Saudi Arabia, both hold an important place in China’s “West Asia policy.”

Prepared by Ms. Divya Malhotra, Research Intern, West Asia Centre, IDSA

East Asia
Special Address - K Subrahmanyam Memorial Lecture by Kishore Mahbubani February 04, 2014 Speeches and Lectures

Venue: IDSA Auditorium (2nd Floor)

Speaker: Mr Kishore Mahbubani, Dean, LKY School, Singapore

Title: Can India be Cunning?

Chairperson: Dr Sanjay Baru, Director IISS

Press Release

Download Summary of the Lecture

Identification of Effective Implementation Practices by Examining UNSCR 1540 (2004) After a Decade of its Existence February 25, 2014 to February 26, 2014 Conference

This workshop is being held in the framework of the 10th anniversary of the adoption of 1540 to both better understand the resolution’s implementation and to identify effective practices for the implementation of the resolution going forward. The primary participants in the event will be members of civil society who have identified effective practices. The audience will also include officials positioned to adopt or enact these effective practices. The event is hosted by the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, Institute for Strategic Studies, King’s College London (Project Alpha) and the UN Office of Disarmament affairs.

Background

When the UN Security Council adopted resolution 1540 on 28 April 2004, expectations for its effective implementation were low. The resolution was intended to assist those States that were willing to support the goals of the resolution but which lacked the legal basis through which to do so. The UNSCR 1540 Committee was set up to help Member States, and other stakeholders, to implement the resolution. The UN Security Council subsequently extended the mandate of the 1540 Committee three times. Most recently, on April 2011, the mandate of the committee was extended for a period of ten years to 2021. The key challenges to overcome during this longer mandate are those surrounding effective implementation of the resolutions requirements.

UNSCR 1540 has many achievements to its credit. In the decade since 1540’s adoption, progress has been realised in expanding the geographical coverage of certain elements of the resolutions requirements and in improving the level of implementation in individual states. Under the auspices of UNSCR 1540 the legislative framework of numerous countries has been improved. Countries such as Malaysia have, for the first time, adopted trade control acts while many others have improved specific aspects of their legal system.

The UNSCR 1540 committee has been instrumental in enabling the improved legal adherence to the resolution’s requirements. Through its work the 1540 Committee has also helped to establish 1540 as a framework for cooperation amongst States, civil society and non-state actors alike in ensuring that the balance between security and prosperity is maintained. Several member countries spread over different geographical regions have received technical assistance to create or strengthen national control and security structures. For this purpose, the Committee and member states have involved relevant international, regional and sub-regional organizations.

However, the success of UNSCR 1540 as an instrument to strengthen legal frameworks has led directly to a new need for the implementation of national legislation to be improved. The adoption of laws cannot alone deliver upon the objectives of 1540. The challenge for the international community, therefore, in the second decade since the resolution’s adoption is to match the improvements in legal basis with improvements in implementation. It is in this context that there is a need to identify effective practices.

Objectives of the Workshop:

  1. The main workshop objective is to identify effective practices that could provide solutions to the implementation challenges of 1540’s export control provisions.
  2. The workshop will also provide some insights into the geographical implementation of Resolution 1540.
  3. The other purpose of the workshop is to analyse the challenges and opportunities faced by the UNSCR 1540 Committee in supporting implementation (as opposed to supporting the development of legislative frameworks).

Programme

Day 1

08:30-09:30: Registration

09.30-10.30: Inaugural Session>
Chair: Arvind Gupta

  1. Welcome Remarks by the Organisers (IDSA, King’s College London and Institute for Strategic Studies, Delhi)
  2. Introductory Remarks by Francois Coutu, Political Affairs Officer, UN Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)
  3. Inaugural Address by Amandeep Singh Gill, Joint Secretary, Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India

10.45-11.00 Tea/Coffee Break

11.00-12:15 Session I: An Overview of a Decade of Existence of the UNSCR 1540 from Regional Perspectives: What progress has been realized and what still needs to be done.
Chair: Matthew Harries

  1. Experience from EU – Cindy Vestergaard, Senior Researcher Danish Institute of International Studies, Copenhagen, Denmark [Presentation]
  2. Experience from Asia-Pacific – Heigo Sato, Professor, Institute of World Studies, Takushoku University, Japan [Presentation]
  3. Experience from Central Asia – Timur Cherikov, Centre for Non-proliferation and Export Control, Bishkek, Kyrgyz Republic [Presentation]

12.15 –13:30 Session II: An Overview of a Decade of Existence of the UNSCR 1540 from Regional Perspectives: What progress has been realized and what still needs to be done.
Chair: Ochieng Adala

  1. African Experience: Gillane Allam, Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs, Cairo, Egypt
  2. Latin American Experience: Kai Ilchmann, Visiting Fellow at Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Sussex [Presentation]
  3. Resolution 1540 in the Arab Region: Ayman Khalil, Director, Arab Institute for Security Studies, Amman, Jordan

13:30-14:30 Lunch

14.30-16:00 Session III: Effective Practices in the Licensing Process: Lessons on Implementation
Chair: G Balachandran

  1. The Indian Experience: S K Samal, Joint Director General of Foreign Trade (DGFT), Government of India, New Delhi, India [Presentation]
  2. Catchalls and End-Use Controls: Ian Stewart, Head, Project Alpha, Kings College, London, UK [Presentation]
  3. Open Source and The Importance of Sharing Refusals: Matjaz Murovec, General Customs Directorate, Republic of Slovenia [Presentation]
  4. South Korean Experience: Steve Ho Kang, Director, Security Management Institute and Korea Association of Security and Trade (KAST), Republic of Korea [Presentation]

16.00-16.15 Tea/Coffee Break

16:15-17:30 Session IV: Enforcement: Challenges Ahead
Chair: D P Dash

  1. The Indian Experience: Arvind Madhvan, Director, Disarmament and International Security Affairs (DISA), Ministry of External Affairs, India [Presentation]
  2. Effective Practices in Policing Transit and Transhipment: Janet Baenke, BAFA, Germany [Presentation]
  3. Technological Best Practices: Anshuman Roy, Rhombus Power, USA [Presentation]

17:30-18:00 Review of Effective Practices Identified on Day One.

Day-2

09:30-11:00 Session V: Industry Engagement
Chair: Michael Aho

  1. Enhancing Industry Capacity for Compliance: Anupam Srivastava, Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI), New Delhi, India [Presentation]
  2. The Private Sector as a Non-Proliferation Asset: Wyn Bowen, King’s College, London, UK
  3. Industry Engagement through Industry Associations: Mukesh Bhargava, Head of Marine Business, Larsen &Toubro, India

11:00-11.15 Tea/Coffee Break

11:15-12:45 Session VI: Effective Practices in Coordination: A Role of NGO’s
Chair: C Uday Bhaskar

  1. Maria Sultan, Director-General of the South Asian Strategic Stability Institute, Islamabad, Pakistan [Presentation]
  2. Sharing Best Practices Through Regional Forums - Tanya Ogilvie-White, Centre for Nuclear Non-proliferation and Disarmament, The Australian National University, Australia [Presentation]
  3. Rajiv Nayan, Senior Research Associate, Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi, India [Presentation]

12:45-13:30 Lunch

13:30-15:00 Session VII: Effective Practices and Intangible Controls
Chair: Prof. Wyn Bowen

  1. Codes of Conduct, Daniel Salisbury, Project Alpha, Kings College, London, UK [Presentation]
  2. Effective Practices for Controlling Intangible Technology Exports: Peter Clevestig, SIPRI, Sweden [Presentation]
  3. R Ramachandran, Former Editor, Frontline Magazine [Presentation]

15:00-15:15 Tea/Coffee Break

15:15-16:30 Session VIII: Identification of Effective Practices Next Steps
Chair: B M Gokhale

  1. A B Awati, Scientist, Department of Atomic Energy, Mumbai, India [Presentation]
  2. Emiliano Buis, Professor and Researcher at NPS Global Foundation, Buenos Aires, Argentina [Presentation]
  3. Margaret Muturi, Department of Medical Laboratory Science, Kenyatta University, Kenya [Presentation]
  4. Noel Stott (Via Skype), Senior Research Fellow, ISS Africa.

16:30-17:00 Closing Session
Chair: Arvind Gupta

  1. Rajiv Nayan, Senior Research Associate, Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi, India
  2. Ian Stewart, Head, Project Alpha, Kings College, London, UK
  3. Michael C. Aho, UNSC 1540 Committee Member, Coordinator, Working Group on Transparency and Media Outreach
  4. G Balachandran, Consulting Fellow, Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi, India

Click here for Event Photographs [+]

Nuclear and Arms Control
United Nations Security Council Reform: Perspectives and Prospects February 12, 2014 Conference

Concept Note

Over the years, the world has changed in fundamental ways. We are witnessing a resurgence of Asia, Africa and Latin America. Growth and development have not only made the countries more interdependent, but new and increasingly complex challenges have also arisen. For multilateralism to remain relevant and effective in today’s world, multilateral institutions must adapt and reform to reflect contemporary geo-political realities.

No multilateral body is more in need of reform than the United Nations Security Council which is still constituted in accordance with the geopolitical architecture of 1945. The lack of reform has affected the credibility and effectiveness of the Security Council as seen in a number of new crises afflicting the world.

The constituency for reforms has been increasing by the day. An overwhelming majority of countries have supported the demand for an urgent reform and expansion of the Security Council in both permanent and non-permanent categories of its membership.

Brazil, Germany, India and Japan have come together on the platform of G-4 to pursue the much needed and urgent Security Council reform and to make it more broadly representative, efficient and transparent and thus enhance its effectiveness and the legitimacy of its decisions. G-4 countries have reached out to all regional groups to find a path that will reflect the dominant call by Member States for a reform of the Security Council leading to an expansion in both categories of membership, permanent and non permanent. The G-4 initiative enjoys broad and cross regional support. G-4 countries reaffirmed their view of the importance of developing countries, in particular Africa, to be represented in both the permanent and non-permanent categories of an enlarged Council. G-4 countries have also welcomed the initiative taken by the current President of the General Assembly, H.E. John W. Ashe, to issue a Non Paper which faithfully reflects the current status of the discussions in the past five years, as a basis for text based negotiations in the 10th round of Intergovernmental Negotiations currently underway in New York.

The debate on expansion of the Council has been going on for a few decades with a consensus still eluding the international community. The time has now come to move ahead from words to action and take a decision on the way forward based on the wishes of majority of the UN membership. Given that world leaders agreed at the 2005 World Summit to achieve an 'early' reform of the Security Council, it is imperative that the world community work together for a concrete result before the 70th anniversary Summit of the United Nations in 2015.

G-4 countries have recognised the need for greater involvement of civil society, the media and academia in the discussions on Security Council reform. In this context, IDSA is organising a seminar on the “United Nations Security Council Reform: Perspectives and Prospects” on February 12, 2014.

Programme

1000h – 1040h Inaugural Session

1000h-1005h Opening Remarks by Dr. Arvind Gupta, DG, IDSA

1005h-1020h Keynote Address by Mrs. Sujatha Singh, Foreign Secretary, GOI

Speakers
1020h-1025h Amb Paulo Roberto Tarrisse da Fontoura, Head, IO Division, Brazil (tbc)
1025h-1030h Ms. Ina Lepel, DDG for Global Issues, Germany
1030h-1035h Mr Yutaka Arima, Director, United Nations Policy Division, Foreign Policy Affairs Bureau, Japan
1035h-1040h Mr Navtej Sarna, SS (IO), MEA, India

1040h – 1100h Tea

1100h – 1230h Session I: Perspectives on Reform

The first session will focus on the challenges in expansion of the UNSC, the role of the P-5 and other groupings, the use of veto and effectiveness of the UNSC
Moderator: Dr. Arvind Gupta, DG, IDSA
Speakers (15 minutes each)
-Amb Prakash Shah, Former PR, PMI, New York
-Prof CSR Murthy, School of International Studies, JNU
-Prof Varun Sahni, School of International Studies, JNU
Discussion

1230h – 1330h Lunch

1330h – 1530h Session II: The Way Forward: Achieving UNSC Reform by 2015

The second session will focus on the on-going processes for UN Security Council Reform, such as G-4 interaction with the L69 and other groups, intergovernmental and text based negotiations and outreach to Africa.
Moderator : Mr. Navtej Sarna, SS (IO), MEA
Speakers (15 minutes each)
-Amb Hardeep Puri, Former PR, PMI, New York
-Amb BS Prakash, Former Ambassador, Embassy of India, Brazil
-Ms Ruchita Beri, Senior Research Associate, IDSA
Discussion

1530h-1545h Tea

1545h-1615h Session III: India and the UN

The third session will focus on the contributions that India has made to the UN multilateral system, in both the spheres of development and peace and security.
Moderator: Shri. Vikas Swarup, JS (UNP), MEA
Speakers (15 minutes each)
-Prof SD Muni, Distinguished Fellow, IDSA, Former Ambassador to Lao PDR
-Lt Gen (Retd.) Satish Nambiar, Distinguished Fellow, IDSA
Discussion

Download Programme [PDF]

Complete text of Keynote Address by Mrs. Sujatha Singh, Foreign Secretary, GOI

Conference Publication

Press Release

Photographs

Africa, Latin America, Caribbean & UN
Taiwan's Role and Position on South China Sea, India-Taiwan Relations and Think-Tanks culture in Taiwan January 24, 2014 1500 hrs Other

Venue: Room no. 105, IDSA

Chair person: Dr. Balachandrane

Speakers: Prof. Mumin Chen from National Chung Hsing University, Prof. Tien-sze Fang and Dr. Ya-wen Yu from National Tsing Hua University

East Asia
13th IDSA-BESA Bilateral Dialogue on “Evolving Political and Security Dynamics in the Region: Implications for India and Israel” January 22, 2014 1000 hrs Bilateral

0930-1000h: Registration

1000-11045h: Inaugural Session
Welcome Address by DG IDSA
Opening Remarks by Director BESA
Keynote Address by JS (WANA), MEA, Government of India (tbc)
Special address by Mr. Yahel Vilan; Deputy Chief of Mission/Charge de’ Affairs to India.

1045-1115h: Tea Break

1115-1300h: Session 1: Round Table on Evolving Global Strategic Environment in South and West Asia
Dr Arvind Gupta, IDSA (China and Central Asia)
Dr. Ashok Behuria, IDSA (Af-Pak Region)
Ms Shebonti Ray Dadwal, IDSA (Energy Issues)
Prof Eytan Gilboa, BESA
Prof Efraim Inbar, BESA

1300-1400h: Lunch

1400-1600h: Session 2: Evolving Political and Security Dynamics in the West Asian Region - Evolving Political and Security Dynamics in the West Asian Region
Chair: Prof Efraim Inbar, BESA
Indian Perspective by Rajeev Agarwal, IDSA
Israeli Perspective by Prof Joshua Teitelbaum, BESA
Iran’s Nuclear Issue and its Impact on the Region
Dr Rajiv Nayan, IDSA
Dr Uzi Rubin, BESA

1600-1615h: Tea Break

1615-1730h: Session 3: India-Israel Bilateral Relations: Challenges and Opportunities
Chair: Brig Rumel Dahiya (Retired), DDG IDSA, (tbc)
S Samuel C Rajiv, IDSA
Prof Efraim Inbar, BESA
Discussion
Closing Remarks

Eurasia & West Asia
Culture as a factor in India’s Neighbourhood Policy: Can the States Play Role February 28, 2014 Smruti S. Pattanaik 1030 to 1300 hrs Fellows' Seminar South Asia
India's Neighbouring Borderlands: An Anthropological Approach January 13, 2014 1430 hours Round Table

Venue: Room no. 005, IDSA

Introductory address by H.E. Shekhar Dutt, Hon'ble Governor of Chhattisgarh

Terrorism & Internal Security
The US Pivot/Rebalance to Asia and the Japanese Response: Implications for India’s ‘Look East’ Policy January 24, 2014 Mahua Bhattacharya 1030 to 1300 hrs Fellows' Seminar

Chair person: Professor Sreemati Chakrabarti
External Discussion: Professor K P Vijaylakshmi and Professor Lalima Varma
Internal Discussion: Dr R N Das and Sanjeev Kumar Shrivastav

East Asia
Military Change in India: An Appraisal of the Evolving Strategy Towards Pakistan January 17, 2014 S. Kalyanaraman Fellows' Seminar

Chairperson: Lt Gen HS Lidder (Retd)
External Discussants: Vice Adm Anup Singh (Retd), Lt Gen Prakash Menon (Retd) and Professor Rajesh Rajagopalan
Internal Discussant: Col PK Gautam (Retd)

This paper primarily made an attempt to understand India’s evolving military strategy towards Pakistan. It analyzes this evolution using the theoretical framework of mlitary change, which can be conceived of as occurring at three levels: the goals of a military organisation, its organisational structure, and the strategy it adopts. The cause of military change can be traced to three sources: a voluntary or externally induced change in the cultural norms of a military organisation; changes in a state’s domestic political orientation or in its national security scenario; and the introduction of new technology.

The paper seeks to examine whether military change has occurred in India at any of the three levels identified above and, if yes, then what has been the source of that change. With these objectives, the paper focuses upon the third level of change, namely strategy. Specifically, it examines the strategies adopted by the Indian armed forces for the Pakistan front and the changes effected therein over the course of the last six decades. This examination highlights two principal trends. At the operational level of war, India’s military strategy towards Pakistan changed from attrition to manoeuvre and back to attrition. And the objective of India’s strategy has changed from victory until the 1980s to punishing Pakistan since the 1990s. The paper argues that these changes were caused by India’s evolving security scenario vis-à-vis Pakistan and in particular by the introduction of nuclear weapons, which have inhibited India’s response to the challenge posed by Pakistan.

The paper concludes that civil-military coordination is essential for bringing in sync the military and political objectives within a larger strategic narrative. While such coordination was indeed a consistent feature between independence and the 1999 Kargil conflict, a divergence has emerged between the political and military leaderships during the last 10 years. This fraying of politico-military coordination is clearly evident in the army’s failure to win political approval for the Cold Start strategy and indeed in its attempt through such a strategy to compel the political leadership into following its timetable for military action. For its part, the political leadership has also failed to engage with the services to ensure the crafting of a strategy that is both appropriate for a nuclear environment and is dovetailed with broader policy objectives.

Major Points of Discussion and Suggestions to the Author:

  • It was pointed out that more than lack of trust or anything else, the civil-military disconnect in India is the result of lack of expertise on military matters among the civilian leadership. This state of affairs can be attributed to the near absence of public discourse on hardcore military subjects. This scenario is, however, fast changing with an increasing number of retired military professionals beginning to write and generating a public debate on military issues.
  • Military strategy in war is different from pre-war planning. The paper needs to spell out clearly which level of strategy is its focus.
  • There is a need to unbundle and elaborate upon the argument about the change in Indian strategy from victory to punishment. It was argued that India’s objective has been to deter Pakistan and the method adopted for that purpose has been punishment and not victory per se. Further, for India, victory has not always entailed the defeat of Pakistan or the occupation of its territory. Victory has to be judged in terms of the goals set with punishment also having been a part of victory.
  • With respect to the nuclear factor, it was pointed out that India has been repeatedly subjected to nuclear blackmail. At the same time, India’s propensity to up the ante against Pakistan has been severely constrained. The Cold Start has been seen as a viable option in the nuclear backdrop but the ambiguity that surrounds it has outweighed its utility as a strategy.
  • While formulating any strategy vis-à-vis Pakistan, India cannot ignore China. It implies that a two front war scenario is a very distinct possibility and India must retool its strategy to meet such challenge.
  • The paper needs to incorporate the role played by the Mukti Bahini in the 1971 war, a role that was crucial in terms of providing valuable intelligence and reconnaissance support.
  • It was argued that Pakistan’s strategy toward India is one of offensive-defensive, whereas India’s has been defensive-offensive. This has been reflected time and again in Pakistan’s misadventures against India in the past.
  • Regarding Cold Start, it was pointed out that lessons are learnt from war and that goes into doctrines. Therefore, the Cold Start, which is primarily a mobilizational effort, does not hold much doctrinal value.
  • It was argued that attrition is a safe option. Contrary to attrition, manoeuvre involves high risk and high gain. Any strategy, therefore, should be a combination of both attrition and manoeuvre and it cannot be a case of either or.
  • It was suggested that the paper should focus on political strategy rather than military strategy as everything else flows from the former. It is the political leadership that decides on war and peace after taking into account several factors ranging from domestic to external.
  • The paper would be enriched if it includes Pakistan’s military strategy and objectives vis-à-vis India.

Report prepared by Amit Kumar, Research Assistant, IDSA

Military Affairs

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