US-China Relations

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  • Changing Pattern of the China-India-US Triangle

    India and America enjoy amity in their bilateral relationship, but both share adversarial relations with China. What has cemented their global strategic partnership is the threat that both countries perceive from China. This pattern appears set to continue into the medium term.

    February 19, 2021

    The China-India-US Triangle: Changing Balance of Power and a New Cold War

    China is no longer interested in maintaining previous patterns of its relationships with India and US. It seeks to forge new types of relationships that are reflective of the extant balance of power. China expects India to demonstrate awed subservience and refrain from security cooperation with US.

    September 21, 2020

    US-China Trade War and the High Technology Sector

    In this era of complex interdependence, sudden disruptions in supply chains will not only hurt Chinese businesses in the US and elsewhere, but also damage the US economy as well as its reputation as a business destination.

    May 22, 2019

    Great Power Rivalry Reaches Africa

    With John Bolton conceding that the US has limited resources to compete with the tens of billions of dollars that China is pouring into Africa, it is not clear how effective America’s new Africa strategy would prove to be in containing China.

    January 09, 2019

    Suchak Patel asked: How the US-China trade war is a challenge as well as an opportunity for India? What precautionary steps should India take to safeguard its interests?

    Raviprasad Narayanan replies: The US-China trade war is to be seen as an expression of “irrational exuberance” (Alan Greenspan, former US Federal Reserve chief) on the part of US President Donald Trump appealing to a domestic audience. The US President by adopting a ‘strong’ posture towards China and walking out of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) represents a dynamic about turn and unpredictability long the methodology followed by rulers deposed by the US.

    China Looks to Africa to Reduce Trade Dependence on the US

    China may or may not succeed in transforming Africa into a substitute market. If it does, the bilateral trade relationship is likely to become more unbalanced and tilted in its own favour leading to greater exploitation of Africa.

    September 18, 2018

    India : US :: China : US – Cyber and Bilateral Visits

    India : US :: China : US – Cyber and Bilateral Visits

    While the China-US Cyber agreement is an attempt at conflict management or risk mitigation, the India-US Cyber agreement is a joint quest for security driven by a common threat perception, democratic values and growing dependence.

    June 09, 2016

    China as a Peer of the United States: Implications of the Joint Statement of September 25, 2015

    China as a Peer of the United States: Implications of the Joint Statement of September 25, 2015

    China is emerging as a peer and partner of the United States in international affairs. India’s response should be to work with China to make the ‘Asian Century’ a reality and shape the future global agenda.

    October 01, 2015

    Kumar Gautam asked: What could be the implications of the US-China relations, both positive and negative, for India?

    Rup Narayan Das replies: USA and China already have a very robust relationship, though at times there have been difficult phases as well. Their economies are now intertwined to the extent that they are often described as ‘conjoined Siamese twins.’ There are a number of dialogue mechanisms touching the whole gamut of the bilateral relationship including political, economic, defence, military and educational. The leaders of the two countries interact at various levels, both bilateral as well as on the margins of multilateral meetings.

    P. Uthamraj asked: Do TPP versus RCEP show Cold War mentality?

    Jagannath P. Panda replies: To some extent, yes. The TPP and the RCEP show the Cold War mentality of the USA and China respectively. Yet, we must note that the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) are not necessarily two contending trade liberalizing models limited to the USA-China politics. Their arrival has posed stiff political challenges for many countries. While the success of the TPP hinges on the global economic authority of the USA and how the negotiation process unfolds, the future dynamism of RCEP will depend heavily upon how China and the ASEAN conduct their negotiation process and accommodate the interests of other regional powers, including India. Hitherto, it has been no secret that both RCEP and TPP will greatly affect and influence the ASEAN and the role of its Free Trade Agreement (FTA) partner countries, including China and India.

    For further details on the subject, please refer to my following publication:

    Jagannath P. Panda, “Factoring the RCEP and the TPP: China, India and the Politics of Regional Integration”, Strategic Analysis, Routledge, 38 (1), January 2014, pp. 49-67.

    Posted on March 05, 2014