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    • Trump’s Energy Plan – More Volatility for Oil Geopolitics

    Although President-elect Trump has declared his intention to deregulate the fossil fuel sector in order to make America less energy import dependent, but over time, this will lead to an increase in supplies in an already over-supplied oil (and gas) market and send prices into a further downward spiral.

    Shebonti Ray Dadwal
    December 05, 2016

    The Oil Market Challenge

    Over the last few years, it has been a roller coaster ride for the oil markets. From $110 a barrel in 2010, prices began dropping from June 2014 and finally dropped to below $30 a barrel in January 2016. Then from the end of the first quarter of 2016, prices started recovering and have been hovering around $50 a barrel since May

    Shebonti Ray Dadwal
    September 2016

    Energy Interdependence as a Strategic Factor in the Post-Cold War Context

    Energy, as a resource, has been considered only as a factor of complex geopolitical rivalries and geo-economic calculations globally. This article, on the other hand, attempts to analyse a parallel trend in the post-Cold War international scenario, a trend that shows how energy gains global relevance as a vector of alliance and a link for interdependence, and how economic and environmental challenges have become the compelling factors to push competitors to turn into allies and partners.

    Sreemati Ganguli
    May 2016

    Enhancing Energy Security in Rural Tanzania: Examples of Decentralized Rural Energy Approaches from India

    Enhancing Energy Security in Rural Tanzania: Examples of Decentralized Rural Energy Approaches from India

    This paper argues that decentralized electrification without local participation is unlikely to yield the desired nation-wide impact, especially for the rural communities. This suggests that the energy policy and institutional arrangements of Tanzania need to find more space for local community participation in rural electrification initiatives.

    Ian Sanghavi

    Geopolitical Shifts in West Asia: Trends and Implications

    Geopolitical Shifts in West Asia:Trends and Implications
    • Publisher: Pentagon Press
      2016

    The West Asian region is undergoing a phase of massive turbulence since the outbreak of the Arab Spring. This period has been marked by popular protests, internal conflicts, civil wars, military interventions and involvement of external players. The regional security situation remains fragile with a new terrorist entity, the Islamic State, emerging to challenge the existing geographical boundaries of the region. There has been an enormous increase in terrorism and extremism, and the non-state actors have gained significant influence in regional politics.

    • ISBN 978-81-8274-877-4,
    • Price: ₹ 995.00
    • E-copy available
    Prasanta Kumar Pradhan
    2016

    Danish Mallick asked: Does India have any codified policy till date to be at least 60 per cent self-sufficient in energy, and how much time it is going to take?

    Shebonti Ray Dadwal replies: In its Vision 2.0, the NITI Aayog has projected the following paths that India is likely to take in its endeavour to achieve energy security:

    Level 1- the 'Least Effort' scenario: This assumes that little or no effort is being made in terms of interventions on the demand and the supply side.

    Soundarrajan Karuppusamy asked: How the lowering of oil prices adversely affect India’s overall economic security? Will there be any negative impact on India’s energy security?

    Shebonti Ray Dadwal replies: The lower oil prices have thus far been beneficial for India, being a major oil importing country. India is expected to save Rs. 2.14 lakh crore on its oil import bill in the Financial Year 2016. Moreover, a lower oil import bill has helped cut its current account deficit (CAD) from 4.8 per cent in 2012 to 1.6 per cent of the GDP. But this might not be the case in future. When the oil prices would increase, the CAD too will increase concurrently.

    Harish Srinivasan asked: Growth of ISIS poses a severe threat to oil supplies from Iraq. What should be India's approach to ensure energy supplies from Iraq?

    Shebonti Ray Dadwal replies: ISIS has lost control over major oil fields in Iraq since mid-2015, and although it still controls some parts of Iraq, the oil trade in eastern Syria is now one of the only means it can make money from oil. The main oil-producing regions of Iraq are still under the control of Baghdad and despite security and financial problems the crude production has grown substantially over the last five years, reaching 4.4 mbd in the third quarter of 2015 as against 2 mbd earlier.

    India’s Economic Opportunities and Energy Security: Analysing Prospects Within SAARC and Beyond

    It has been extensively debated whether India should prioritise relations with its immediate or extended neighbourhood. Put into the framework of energy security and competition with China, it will be argued that the recently signed South Asian Association for Regional Co-operation (SAARC) framework agreement can provide the basis and open up new opportunities for inter- and sub-regional energy co-operation in Asia.

    Anna Juhos
    September 2015

    Non-Traditional Security Challenges in Asia: Approaches and Responses

    Non-Traditional Security Challenges in Asia: Approaches and Responses
    • Publisher: Pentagon Press
      2015

    Asia is challenged by a number of non-traditional security issues including the food–energy–water nexus, climate change, transnational crime, terrorism, disaster relief and economic performance. This volume categorizes and clarifies some key emerging issues in the area and looks at their interconnectedness and implications.

    • ISBN 978-11-3889-253-8,
    • Price: $110.00/-
    Shebonti Ray Dadwal and Uttam Kumar Sinha
    2015

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