STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

In the Wake of the US Withdrawal

Sumit Ganguly holds the Rabindranath Tagore Chair in Indian Cultures and Civilizations at Indiana University, where he is also professor of political science, directs the India Studies Program and serves as research director at the Center on American and Global Security.
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  • January 2011
    Volume: 
    35
    Issue: 
    1
    Debate

    As the United States seeks to draw down its security forces in Afghanistan, India faces a serious policy conundrum. It has made, as Vishal Chandra argues, significant developmental and infrastructural investments in the country. If the US military withdrawal is significant, even if not precipitate, it may leave the field open to a reconstitution of the Taliban within the country. Such an outcome will dramatically enhance Pakistani influence in the country and thereby place India's very substantial commitments to date at risk. Worse still, it will again enable the Pakistani security-intelligence apparatus to use Afghan soil to organise, train and arm a host of jihadi entities for use against India. Consequently, it is vitally important for Indian policy makers to formulate a strategy to try and forestall this potentially disastrous outcome.

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