South Korea’s Response to North Korean Troops in the Russia–Ukraine War

The Russia–Ukraine war since 2022 has a profound impact on the geopolitics of the East Asian region.1 Notably, it has strengthened the military alliance between Russia and North Korea. Russian President Vladimir Putin visited Pyongyang in June 2024 and signed a mutual defence treaty, the ‘Comprehensive Strategic Partnership’ with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. This new agreement also calls for cooperation between the two countries in the fields of information technology, nuclear energy, space research and food production.2

The deepening military cooperation between Russia and North Korea is evident from the fact that thousands of North Korean troops are reported to have been currently deployed in Russia. According to the South Korean National Intelligence Service (NIS), North Korean soldiers have been possibly given the duty in the Marine Corps and/or in the airborne brigade of the Russian army.3 South Korea’s Defense Minister has argued that North Korean troops are being used as “cannon fodder” by the Russians.4 In October 2024, an estimated 8,000 North Korean soldiers were reported to have been stationed in the Kursk region of Russia.5 Notably, North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui has also pledged to support Russia until Moscow’s “victory” against Ukraine.6

The deepening military partnership between Russia and North Korea has increased apprehensions in the United States and South Korea. Ukraine has also raised concerns over the participation of North Korean soldiers in the ongoing war between Moscow and Kiev.7 In November 2024, Ukraine confirmed to have had first clashes with the North Korean soldiers.8 Earlier, the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had requested Western allies to act against the North Korean troops in Russia.9 It was also reported that about 500 North Korean soldiers have apparently died in a Ukrainian attack in November 2024.10

Why has North Korea Sent its Troops to Russia?

North Korea has sent its troops to the war zone in Europe for both economic and geopolitical reasons. The severe economic sanctions imposed on North Korea by the international community has pushed the Kim dynasty regime to look for new sources of income. Exporting weapons and sending soldiers to fight for Russia has brought economic benefits to Pyongyang. The South Korean media reported that North Korea’s participation in the Russia–Ukraine war would benefit Pyongyang with food, money and sophisticated space technologies from Russia.11 The South Korean National Security Adviser has also claimed that North Korea received anti-air missiles from Russia for Pyongyang sending its soldiers to participate in the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war.12

There is also geopolitical context to the North Korean soldiers now operating in Russia. The North Korean regime was increasingly threatened by the trilateral security cooperation between the United States, South Korea and Japan. After the failure of North Korea’s engagement with various American administrations, Pyongyang has probably lost hopes of reconciliation with the United States.13 North Korea’s relationship with its closest ally, China, has also apparently soured in the recent years.14 Therefore, the deepening relationship with Russia provides Kim dynasty regime an important ally, which also has a permanent membership in the United Nations Security Council.

South Korea’s Response

South Korea has raised alarms over Pyongyang’s support to Moscow in the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war, calling it an “illegal” military alliance.15 The United States and South Korea have also agreed to “further expose” the ongoing military and technological collaboration between Moscow and Pyongyang.16 Also, in the first ever South Korea–Canada Foreign and Defense (2+2) Ministers’ Meeting, the two countries demanded the withdrawal of North Korean soldiers from Russia.17 At the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Peru in November 2024, the United States, Japan and South Korea denounced the “dangerous” Russia–North Korea military alliance.18 On the sidelines of the APEC summit, the South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol even urged Chinese President Xi Jinping to act against the North Korean military support to Russia.19

On the other hand, the demand for South Korea’s support and aid to Ukraine also increased in November 2024.20 A South Korean leader from the ruling party regarded the participation of North Korean troops in the Russia–Ukraine war as a “crime against humanity”.21 However, Seoul rejected the idea of sending its troops in support of Ukraine in the ongoing war.22 According to a survey reported in November 2024, the majority of South Koreans were also opposed to Seoul sending lethal weapons directly to Ukraine.23 Arguments are also being made in South Korea that the primary objective of the country should be to strengthen the national defence against North Korean threats, and not to send weapons to Ukraine.24

Donald Trump’s electoral victory in November 2024 has increased anxieties in South Korea.25 Although Seoul is apprehensive about Trump’s ‘transactional approach’, he has pledged to stop the Russia–Ukraine war. As an ally of the United States, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has also expressed his desire to cooperate with the incoming Trump administration.26 Therefore, South Korea’s probable response to the ongoing conflict in Europe has been to ‘wait and watch’. Evidently, despite meeting the Ukrainian delegation led by Kyiv’s Defense Minister Rustem Umerov in Seoul in November 2024, South Korean government’s response regarding the provision of arms directly to Ukraine has remained muted.27

Conclusion

North Korea’s participation in the ongoing war between Moscow and Kyiv through sending soldiers and weapons to Russia in return for military-technological support can further disturb the balance of power between the two Korean states and could trigger a new arms race on the Korean Peninsula. South Korea’s response to the participation of North Korean troops in the Russia–Ukraine war has been calculated. Seoul has refrained from providing lethal weapons directly to Ukraine. The public opinion in South Korea has also been against sending weapons to Ukraine. The South Korean government’s next moves will depend on the policies of the Donald Trump administration as regards the Russia–Ukraine war.

Views expressed are of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Manohar Parrikar IDSA or of the Government of India.