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SUMMARY:Keynote Address at the 11th Asian Security Conference
DESCRIPTION:This year’s conference is of great significance. It assumes particular salience in the context of the attacks on Mumbai and the systematic use of terrorism and irregular warfare as state policy aimed at India. It is becoming increasingly clear that the nature of war and conflict is changing. All-out wars are no longer the norm for settling political disputes among states. In fact\, despite the military modernization underway in Asian countries\, few wars have taken place. Afghanistan and Iraq are exceptions\, since they are not typical inter-state wars. Most Asian states today are not inclined to engage in large-scale conventional warfare\, as they are no longer seen as the most effective way to securing political\, economic and diplomatic gains. \nThe rapid globalisation of recent years has led to profound changes by creating interdependence amongst states and people. In this backdrop\, it does not seem likely that the states would move back to the classical inter-state wars of the bygone era. Liberal economic policies are increasingly connecting Asia to the world economy. Economic growth and prosperity today are dependent on stable ties and cooperation with other nations of the world. Free movement of goods\, services and people\, cross-border financial flows and Foreign Direct Investment are key drivers of economic growth today. These flourish only in a climate of peace and stability. Nation states\, therefore\, have high stakes in ensuring peace. \nIn such a situation\, conflicts may occur\, only if particular regimes facing internal economic and political problems unleash nationalism and war against an external `enemy’ to rally popular support. Asia\, unfortunately\, does have a number of unsettled territorial and sovereignty disputes. And these can be manipulated by irresponsible states to ensure regime stability. Both internal and external checks and balances\, against such possible abuses of power are\, therefore\, necessary. Fortunately\, many Asian states have wisely agreed to set aside disputes that cannot be resolved immediately and to maintain status quo. They have encouraged a system of dialogue and negotiations to peacefully resolve these disputes. And they are focussed on enhancing cooperation. The India-China relationship is a good example of this approach.  \nAlthough external wars are no longer in vogue; civil wars\, insurgencies\, and militancy have become the principal modes of armed conflict today. Many flow from identity movements; others from extremist ideologies; and yet others from social\, economic and political inequities that abound in our continent. These have made many Asian states extremely unstable and fragile. Dealing with these complex challenges through efficient and improved governance and effective development strategies must be of the highest importance for Asian nations. These will contribute to minimizing the scope and sources of violence between and within states. Steady democratisation of states in Asia is needed for better protection of peoples’ rights\, and also for security.  \nLadies and Gentlemen\,  \nIndia is committed to build strong\, non-discriminatory international norms and institutions\, so as to strengthen world peace and stability. We have resolved to work with the international community on global and universal nuclear disarmament and institutions that have legitimacy and enhance the security of all states. India hopes to gain its rightful place in the United Nations Security Council and make significant contribution to global security as a major stake-holder and responsible power. \nWe are engaged in a major diplomatic effort to construct a new Asian security order through bilateral and multilateral engagements. Our network of strategic defence and security ties with major powers such as the United States\, Russia\, China\, Japan\, or with neighbouring countries of Southeast Asia\, Africa\, the Gulf and the Indian Ocean is aimed at creating confidence\, enhancing state capacities to contribute to their security and stability and promoting transparency and understanding.  \nIndia’s capacity building efforts in Afghanistan are particularly significant. The goal of our efforts is to contribute to Asian peace and stability and not undermine them.  \nIndia’s role in the ASEAN Regional forum and the East Asia Summit are similarly aimed at building a new architecture of stability and peace with states that are focused on development and regional institution building\, that will create conditions for long-term economic growth\, interdependence and prosperity in Asia.  \nThe India-specific waiver by the Nuclear Suppliers’ Group in September 2008 has put aside a major road block to India’s role and future development. For four decades\, India had been subjected to an unfair and discriminatory international nuclear regime that has been brought to an end. The unique waiver for India—in recognition of its responsible role in non-proliferation—has opened the door for nuclear energy cooperation with the rest of the world. It enables us to play a more significant role in achieving the goals of non-proliferation and energy security. India would seek to ensure that the benefits of peaceful uses of nuclear energy will reach all states in keeping with their international obligations. \nFriends\,  \nI have shared with you my thoughts on security in our times and the efforts we are making for safeguarding it. May I now revert to the important issue that I had raised in the beginning.  \nWhile the prospects of inter-state armed conflicts are indeed declining\, India and the Asian continent continue to face the challenge of terrorism. Pakistan has become the epicentre of international terrorism. \nThe assault on Mumbai and many previous attacks on Indian cities over the past few years have gravely undermined peace and security. Afghanistan has been a victim of similar acts\, as indeed have been other countries.  \nThat the major attacks of large magnitude can be planned and executed by elements in Pakistan totally undermines the solemn commitments to us made by its leadership that territory in its control would not be permitted to be used for terrorism. The positive gains of the past years have been destroyed by the dastardly attack on Mumbai. The onus now is on the Government of Pakistan to act with sincerity and decisiveness against the perpetrators and controllers of such attacks. It is in the interest of this region and the rest of the world that such perpetrators of wanton violence are brought to justice and the infrastructure of terror is eliminated.  \nThere is equally an onus on the international community to act. This Frankenstein is now a threat to democracy\, stability and peace in Afghanistan and to Pakistan itself. The international community needs to act decisively and in concert to get rid of this scourge. We sincerely hope that this approach would be the way ahead. As a victim of terrorism\, we must remain committed to safeguarding the lives of our nationals and to taking all the necessary steps to enhance and safeguard our security.  \nThe conference is being held at a critical juncture when the world is facing the prospects of an economic meltdown. This will have unforeseen implications for the global order and security. How will the Asian countries be affected by the economic crisis? What will be its impact on military modernisation projects? Will non-state actors become more active? These are some of the issues which I hope the experts gathered here today will discuss in this conference. \nIt is a matter of great satisfaction for us that so many leading experts and analysts from around the world have gathered here. Your participation raises the stature of the conference. At the end of your two-day deliberations\, you will\, I hope\, come out with findings which will help policymakers deal with the grave threats presented by the changing nature of war.  \nI wish the conference all success in its deliberations.  \nThank you.  \nJai Hind.
URL:https://idsa.in/idsa-event/keynote-address-at-the-11th-asian-security-conference
CATEGORIES:KEY SPEECHES,Asian Security Conference,ASC Key Speeches
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DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Kolkata:20090203T053000
DTEND;TZID=Asia/Kolkata:20090204T053000
DTSTAMP:20261109T194405
CREATED:20231223T125834Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20250313T003305Z
UID:62806-1233639000-1233725400@idsa.in
SUMMARY:11th Asian Security Conference: The Changing Face of Conflict and Strategy in Asia
DESCRIPTION:Concept Note\n\n\nThe Asian Security Conference (ASC) is a major calendar event of the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA)\, New Delhi. Since 1999\, when the conference was first held\, the ASC has emerged as an important platform for debating issues relating to Asian security. For the last ten years\, the ASC has been providing a forum for security analysts\, ministers and diplomats from around the world to share their views on the challenges facing the Asian continent. The eleventh in this series is being held to probe the issue of “The Changing Face of Conflict and Evolving Strategies in Asia.”While there is now a general acknowledgement that Asia is becoming the new centre of gravity in international politics\, it is also true that the present juncture represents a period of uncertainty. Firstly\, the interests of five major powers – those of the predominant United States\, a resurgent Russia\, a rising China\, a normalising Japan\, and an emerging India – intersect in Asia. Four of these countries possess nuclear weapons and Japan not only enjoys the protection afforded by the American nuclear umbrella but also has the necessary wherewithal to go nuclear once it makes a determination to this effect. Though peaceful relations currently prevail among them all partly fuelled by economic interdependence and partly a result of the existing correlation of forces\, potential sources of conflict lie beneath the surface in the form of unresolved territorial disputes and national and geopolitical rivalries. Could these eventually result in rival alliances\, arms races and even open war? Or\, given growing economic interdependence\, the presence of nuclear weapons and the extreme destructiveness of modern war\, is war among major powers unlikely? \nSecondly\, current trends indicate that conflicts are largely confined to the intra-state level (civil wars\, insurgencies and terrorism)\, and that non-traditional and transnational security challenges like energy security\, climate change\, pandemics\, natural disasters\, maritime piracy\, etc. are the more dominant motifs of international security. Are we then witnessing a transformation in war? \nGiven the uncertainty of the evolving security environment\, marked as it is by underlying rivalries and unresolved territorial disputes on one hand and a host of non-traditional and transnational challenges on the other\, the strategy of key players in Asia in dealing with the multiple challenges facing them needs to be studied. It is broadly understood that Strategy\, or Grand Strategy if you will\, involves marshalling the resources of a nation (or a coalition of nations)\, including the armed forces\, towards the goal of protecting\, promoting and securing vital interests against adversaries or rivals. It is from this perspective that the strategies of key players in Asia (China\, India\, Japan\, Russia and the United States) would be looked at\, based on the understanding that the manner in which their strategies interact will fundamentally determine issues of war and peace and the contours of the international order in coming years. \nGiven the vagaries and uncertainties inherent in international politics as well as the imperative of technological development and evolution\, all major powers as well as key players in Asia are naturally engaged in modernising their militaries. In order to provide a solid foundation for the discussion\, individual case studies have been identified. The discussion will begin with a paper on the evolution of China’s military doctrine. It will be followed by a study on the U.S. Air Force and the changing dimensions of air power. The maritime dimension of Asian security will be explored through a study on the Indian Navy. And given the prominence of insurgencies and the threat of terrorism in the current international security situation\, this dimension of conflict will be covered by a study on the counter-insurgency strategy being employed in Afghanistan. \nThree other specific dimensions of future conflict in Asia are also emerging. The first is the emerging trend towards militarization of space. China became the third country in the world to send an astronaut into space in October 2003. It also showcased its anti-satellite capabilities in January 2007 by shooting down one of its own old satellites. The United States\, which had earlier withdrawn from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2001\, followed suit with an ASAT test of its own in February 2008. Apprehensions caused by these trends have led India\, which has so far pursued only peaceful applications of space technology\, to set up an Integrated Space Cell to be jointly operated by its armed forces and its space research organisation. Japan enacted a Space Law in June 2008\, which has changed the interpretation of peaceful uses of outer space from ‘non-military’ to ‘non-aggressive’. Are we then witnessing a new space race involving the United States\, China\, Japan and India? And what role would space technology play in future wars? \nAnother technological pursuit that would have fundamental implications in the years to come is the quest for ballistic missile defences\, principally by the United States. Though ostensibly meant to cater for threats from ‘rogue’ states\, it will also have obvious utility against China\, for instance\, which at present deploys only about 20 ICBMs capable of reaching the continental United States. Japan has a robust co-operation programme on missile defence with the United States. India too has been showing interest in deploying missile defences. What would be the impact of ballistic missile defence systems on nuclear deterrence? \nThird\, even as economies and militaries are becoming increasingly networked to benefit from information technology\, the vulnerabilities of these networks are becoming evident with reports of cyber attacks. This new dimension of cyber space will also be discussed in the conference. Finally\, the conference will also focus on the prospects for the structuring of an Asian security architecture. Two contrasting approaches to evolving a security architecture can be envisaged. One involves structuring a balance of power involving major and key minor powers in Asia. And the second is a co-operative framework\, exemplified by the ARF. Both these approaches will be analysed. \nOver the last decade\, the IDSA\, through the medium of the Asian Security Conference\, has had the honour and privilege of providing a forum for leading policymakers and security analysts from around the world to share and discuss their thoughts and insights on the evolving security environment in Asia. Our endeavour is to advance knowledge about the pressing security issues and challenges in Asia as well as help bridge the gap between knowledge and policy. We hope to contribute through this conference to a better understanding of the security dimensions of a rising Asia and its impact on the international order. \n\n\n\n\nProgramme Schedule\n\n\nDAY 1\, February 03\, 2009\nRegistration: 0830 hrs \nInaugural Session: 09:00 – 09:40 hrs\nTea: 0940 – 1000 hrs \n\nWelcome Remarks – Shri Narendra Singh Sisodia\, Director-General IDSA\nKeynote Address – Shri A.K. Antony\, President of IDSA & Defence Minister of India\nConferment of the K. Subrahmanyam Award\nBook Release\nVote of Thanks – Dr. Thomas Mathew\, Deputy Director-General\, IDSA\n\nSession 1: Conflict and Strategy (10:00 – 12:30 hrs)\nChair: V. P. Malik \n\nRegular and Irregular War – Lawrence Freedman\nThe Conflict in Afghanistan and the Evolution of Counter-insurgency Strategy – Rod Thornton\nThinking Strategically – John Warden\n\nDiscussant: V. Krishnappa \nRapporteur Report\nLunch: 1230 – 1330 hrs \nSession 2: Asian Hotspots and American Security Strategy (13:30 – 15:15 hrs)\nChair: Satish Chandra \n\nThe Emerging Security Dynamic in West Asia – Hilal Khashan\nThe US Global War on Terrorism in Afghanistan-Pakistan: An Assessment – Christine Fair\nHow to get Asia-Pacific Policy Right?: Recommendations for the Obama Administration – Ralph Cossa\n\nDiscussant: Alok Bansal \nRapporteur Report\nTea: 15:15 – 15:30 hrs \nSession 3: Military Modernisation and Asian Security (15:30 – 17:30 hrs)\nChair: Jasjit Singh \n\nPatterns of Doctrine in the Chinese People’s Liberation Army: From Threats to Contingencies to Capabilities – Paul Godwin\nThe Indian Navy: Oceanic and Coastal Security Imperatives – Rahul Roy-Choudhury\nThe U.S. Air Force and the Changing Face of Air Power – Benjamin Lambeth\n\nDiscussant: Arvind Dutta \nRapporteur Report\nDay 2\, February 04\, 2009\nSession 4: Technology and Asian Security (0915 – 1115 hrs)\nChair: Ashok Parthasarathi \n\nIs There a New Space Race in Asia?: Different Perceptions for Space – Kazuto Suzuki\nWho’s Afraid of Missile Defence? – Rajesh Basrur\nThe Strategic Impact of BMD in South Asia – Dean Wilkening\n\nDiscussant: Rajiv Nayan \nRapporteur Report\nTea: 1115 – 1130 hrs \nSession 5: Security Strategies of Major Powers in Asia (11:30 – 13:30 hrs)\nChair: Rajiv Sikri \n\nEnergy Security in Asia: Central Asian and Russian Roles in Meeting Asian Gas Demands – Ivan Safranchuk\n“A Harmonious World” and China’s “New Diplomacy” – Yuan Peng\nJapan’s Security Policy in an Uncertain World: Evolution and Innovation – Lam Peng Er\nIndia’s Evolving Security Strategy – S. Kalyanaraman\n\nDiscussant: P. Stobdan \nRapporteur Report\nLunch: 13:30 – 14:30 hrs \nSession 6: Towards an Asian Security Architecture (14:30 – 16:30 hrs)\nChair: Madhu Bhalla \n\nThe Rise of Asia and the International Order – Sujit Dutta\nBalance of Power and the Role of Major Powers – Varun Sahni\nA Co-operative Security Order in Asia – Susan Sim\n\nDiscussant: Abanti Bhattacharya \nRapporteur Report\n\n\n\n\nASC in Media
URL:https://idsa.in/idsa-event/11th-asian-security-conference-the-changing-face-of-conflict-and-strategy-in-asia
CATEGORIES:Asian Security Conference,Previous ASC,CONFERENCES
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