Anand Kumar

Dr. Anand Kumar is an Associate Fellow at the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA), New Delhi. After completing his PhD from the School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU) on “Germany and UN Peacekeeping Operations in the post-Cold War Era”, he joined MP-IDSA in 2007. Over the years, Dr. Kumar has worked on strategic issues gaining reputation as a leading security expert. His areas of specialization at MP-IDSA are Counter-terrorism, South Asian politics, Bangladesh, Maldives, Proliferation of Small Arms and Low intensity conflicts. He has completed three projects at MP-IDSA: “Emerging Challenges and Opportunities in Indo-Bangladesh Relations”, “Terrorism Challenges in Bangladesh”, “Bangladesh and Its Security Relationship with External Powers” and is currently engaged in studying “China as a Factor in the US Engagement with South Asia.” Before joining MP-IDSA, he worked at the South Asia Analysis Group on similar themes. He has also been with the Institute for Conflict Management which specializes on counter-terrorism. Dr. Kumar also has a good understanding of European and North American politics.

Dr. Kumar was a visiting professor and ICCR Chair (Indian Ocean Studies) in the University of Dar-Es-Salaam (UDSM) from November 2017 to November 2019. He worked in the department of political science and public administration. In UDSM he taught Counter-terrorism, regional integration, peacemaking and conflict resolution. He also closely followed issues related to African politics, economics and security.

Dr. Kumar has authored three books and has an edited volume. His latest book Bangladesh and Its Security Relationship with External Powers was published by K W Publishers Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi in 2021. His book on the Maldives entitled “Multi-party Democracy in the Maldives and the Emerging Security Environment in the Indian Ocean Region” was published by Pentagon Press, New Delhi in 2016. His first book Return from the Precipice: Bangladesh’s Fight against Terrorism, and the edited volume The Terror Challenge in South Asia and Prospect of Regional Cooperation were also published by Pentagon Security International, New Delhi. He has published over 30 research papers in reputed journals and edited books. He has delivered lectures on security issues both in India and abroad. He has participated and presented papers in national and international conferences. His article “Shaikh Hasina’s Visit to India and the future of Indo-Bangladesh Relations” was published by the Royal Society for Asia Affairs, London in their official journal Asian Affairs. He has published hundreds of articles in leading newspapers and magazines, including “Insurgency in South Asia muted by war on terror,” The Washington Times, January 16, 2004, and “The Jihadi Next Door,” The Washington Times, May 20, 2010.

Associate Fellow

  • Email: anand_rai@hotmail.com, anandkmrai@gmail.com
  • Phone: +91 11 2671 7983

Publication

IS: Seeking attention in Bangladesh?

Though terror acts have increased, not many believe that they have been carried out by the dreaded group.

The Islamic State (IS) which has emerged as a major terror group in Iraq and Syria, is now trying to expand its influence in countries like Bangladesh. It has released a map of areas which it thinks can belong to it. The terror group, in its attempt to show the presence of outfit in Bangla-desh, has been claiming responsibility for every terror incident happening in that country.

There is no doubt that the terror incidents have increased in Bangladesh this year. But not many in the country believe that they have been carried out by the dreaded organisation. However, what is equally concerning is the western reaction to these incidents which, if anything, has only helped the cause of the IS.

The Islamist militants in Bangladesh started their violence early this year when they killed a Bangladeshi-American blogger and writer Avijit Roy on February 27. A previously unknown group, Ansar Bangla 7, believed to be part of the banned Ansarullah Bangla Team, claimed responsibility. Subsequently, they killed three more bloggers. Though the killing of bloggers had started after the establishment of the Gano Jagaran Manch, it really picked up pace in 2015.

The government of Bangla-desh could not act effectively against the perpetrators of the-se crimes fearing that it would be seen as anti-Islam. The Islamists in Bangladesh, who have been on back foot after Sheikh Hasina assumed power in January 2009, exploited the situation for staging a comeback.

The law enforcement agencies did not act as promptly as was expected of them leading to a number of unfortunate incidents. This led to deterioration of law and order situation in the country. However, the situation is still much better compared to what it was during the earlier BNP – Jamaat regime.

The concern about Islamist violence in Bangladesh has grown after the killing of a publisher and some foreigners. The killing of foreigners has given the Islamic militants the impact they were looking for. Now, the Western diplomatic community in Bangladesh is feeling unsafe. Several diplomatic missions have issued advisory to their staff to keep their movement within Bangladesh to minimum.

The intelligence agencies of the United States claim that they had information that the IS is going to increase its activities in Bangladesh and they had informed staff of Sheikh Hasina government about it when she was in the US to address the 70th UN General Assembly meeting. It is claimed that there is disconnect between the western intelligence agencies and Bangladesh agencies which has not allowed any effective action against the militants. The Bang-ladesh government, however, argues that they have not recei-ved any actionable intelligence from the western agencies.

The militants in Bangladesh, for the first time, attacked Shia mosques. These increased incidents of violence are of concern to both the local people as well as to the international community. The people now want the Hasina government to respond effectively to this increased violence by the militants.

Culture of impunity
It is feared that in the absence of a proper response from the government, a culture of impu-nity would set in Bangladesh, which could lead to more violen-ce. Thankfully, the government seems to have realised its mistake and is now acting tough ag-ainst such militants. The law enforcement agencies have killed and arrested a number of them.

The militants are now also expanding the killing list. Initially, they said that they are targeting bloggers because they were writing blogs against Islam.

But now they are targeting publishers, foreigners, police and Shias. They have also started targeting people who have not written against Islam but are in favour of war crime trials.

The government claims that most of this violence is perpetrated by the local militant groups like the Ansarullah Bangla Team (ABT) and Jama’atul Mujahideen Bangla-desh (JMB). The ABT has generally targets bloggers. On the other hand, the JMB has been attacking foreigners and Shias. Both these organisations have tried to link up with the IS. They find its ideology attractive.

Even the IS says that the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)-Jamaat alliance is a ‘coalition of murtaddin (apostates)’ and that the JMB is a “proper jihad organisation in Bangladesh based on the Kuran and Sunnah.” It seems it is trying to incite other groups to resort to greater violence. IS has now consciously used the word Bengal. This has left many people wondering whether it includes Indian West Bengal too.

The IS presently does not seem to have organisational presence in Bangladesh. However, an organisation like IS which is looking for global expansion would not be averse to expand its reach in this part of the world. Presently, there is a struggle between secularism and fundamentalism. The Hasina government so far has done a credible job of containing fundamentalism.

The world has seen that reckless change of regime does not help to check forces of fundamentalism. A similar mistake should not be committed in Bangladesh where IS seems to be trying to get attention of local people as well as the international community.

This article was originally published in Deccan Herald

Bangladesh: Mayoral Elections unable to resolve Political Deadlock

Confrontational politics is not new in Bangladesh. But it seems to have intensified in the last few months, especially after the unofficial main opposition, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), decided to launch protests on the first anniversary of the 2014 parliamentary elections in order to force the Sheikh Hasina-led Awami League government to step down. The BNP considers the January 5, 2014 parliamentary elections as illegal and hence the government in power as illegitimate.

Depoliticising Illegal Immigration from Bangladesh to India

With the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led coalition coming to power in India in May 2014, the issue of illegal immigration from Bangladesh has come to the forefront once again. However, the fear is whether the debate over the issue will shed more light, leading to the resolution of the problem, or whether it will simply degenerate into political rivalry and polarisation. Illegal immigration figured prominently in the run-up to the 2014 parliamentary elections and was often raised by one of the leading political parties, the BJP.

Domestic Politics of Bangladesh and India–Bangladesh Relations

The foreign policy of a country generally changes incrementally but in the case of Bangladesh it changes dramatically towards India depending upon which political party or alliance is in power. The ideological cleavage prevailing in the country affects not only its domestic politics but also its relationship with its neighbour India. In this article an attempt has been made to explain why and how the domestic politics of Bangladesh affects India–Bangladesh relations.

Can Maldives Avert a Constitutional Crisis?

The emergence of the third political candidate Qasim Ibrahim of the Jumhoory Party has made the present political landscape in Maldives intensely competitive and antagonistic with petitions and counter allegations over the election process. This in all possibility might lead to a long period of political instability.