East Asia: Publications

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  • Understanding Duterte: The Unpredictable President of The Philippines

    Understanding Duterte: The Unpredictable President of The Philippines

    The Hague Tribunal’s decision and China’s take on it are unlikely to compel Duterte to ignore economic interests that can be furthered through cooperation with China.

    July 14, 2016

    South China Sea Ruling: India Strikes the Right Balance

    South China Sea Ruling: India Strikes the Right Balance

    While using unexceptionable language, India has actually not supported the Chinese position in the South China Sea and has called upon China to adhere to the limits laid down in the UNCLOS.

    July 14, 2016

    Lessons from the China vs. Philippines Arbitration Saga

    Lessons from the China vs. Philippines Arbitration Saga

    In purely legal terms, the Permanent Court of Arbitration’s decision will be binding, and a refusal to abide by its findings could have consequences. Beijing has, however, made it clear that in the event of a negative ruling it will simply ignore the judgment.

    July 08, 2016

    China’s Growing Arms Sales to Latin America

    China Defence Sales

    The United States, once the dominant influence over the armed forces of the region, is now in danger of losing that position to China and has already lost it in countries like Bolivia and Venezuela.

    June 20, 2016

    Assessing Power Transition in Taiwan: From KMT to DPP

    Assessing Power Transition in Taiwan: From KMT to DPP

    The return of DPP to power is a significant development from the point of view of cross-strait relations and security in East Asia. Given its growing thrust on ‘Act East’, India needs to take note of the political shift in Taiwan and its likely impact at the wider regional level.

    June 01, 2016

    South China Sea Arbitration: An Analysis

    South China Sea Arbitration: An Analysis

    Considering China’s non-appearance, the tribunal must proprio motu take judicial notice of all relevant facts, data, case precedents and public statements not communicated to it, and must apply its ‘arbitral wisdom’ based on international law.

    May 13, 2016

    China’s First Anti-Terrorism Law: An Analysis

    China’s First Anti-Terrorism Law: An Analysis

    The problem lies not just with the anti-terrorism law’s tough provisions but also the manner of its operation and its implications in terms of tightening political control.

    March 29, 2016

    Act East Policy and the CLMV Countries

    India's Act East Policy and CLMV countries

    While the economic-cum-strategic thrust towards CLMV countries has to be invigorated, a re-look at the Act East Policy is warranted to give it a more north-east development oriented under-pinning.

    March 29, 2016

    Changing Contexts of Chinese Military Strategy and Doctrine

    Changing Contexts of Chinese Military Strategy and Doctrine

    This monograph identifies the contexts which have shaped China's military strategy and doctrine. It argues that these have evolved through Party-Military relations as well as through the Chinese leadership's assessment of the international balance of power. In this framework, the monograph has traced the PLA's strategic and doctrinal transformation from a defensive one to one of limited offence, having global aspirations, affecting further changes in China's military strategy and doctrine.

    2016

    The Escalating South China Sea Dispute - Lessons for India

    The Escalating South China Sea Dispute - Lessons for India

    For Indian observers, it is useful to extrapolate known Chinese position in the Indian Ocean Region and assess Beijing’s likely strategic behaviour. Indian policymakers might well recognise the fact that once China finds itself in a position of maritime advantage, diplomatic engagement has limited utility as a bargaining tactic.

    March 01, 2016

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