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Vinay Kaushal

Group Captain Vinay Kaushal (Retd.) is Distinguished Fellow at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi. Click here for detail profile.

India’s Defence Budget 2017-18: Should Alarm Bells Ring?

February 10, 2017

The share of defence expenditure in 2016-17 has gone below the levels it was in 1955-56. In 2017-18 it will go down to 1.557 per cent of GDP.

Defence Budget 2017-18: What the Macro-Economic Factors Foretell

January 31, 2017

If the defence expenditure relationship to the GDP of 1.65 per cent is maintained, we may see a budget estimate (BE) for defence expenditure of Rs. 285,000 crores, against the current year BE of Rs. 249,099 crores.

Defence Modernisation: A Silver Lining in the Dark Clouds?

January 27, 2017
Defence Modernisation: A Silver Lining in the Dark Clouds?

The presentation of the Union budget on February 1 is expected to ensure full utilisation of allocated funds and will ensure that ‘New Schemes’ can be processed, approved and contracted from April 1, 2017.

Indian Defence Budget: Challenging Times

January 2017

The past decade, and in particular the Twelfth Plan period, have been challenging times for the Indian defence budget. Strategic foresight demands that India’s military strength and capabilities relate to diverse challenges by way of a not unlikely two-front war, the attendant imperatives for a ‘Cold Start’ capability, non-conventional challenges from non-state actors, counter-terrorism capabilities and unavoidable internal security responsibilities.

Impressment Exercise for ‘Civil Hired Transport’ (CHT): Is there a better way to do it in Digital India?

December 08, 2016

The Army needs to comprehensively review the existing SoP for this exercise, liaise with MORTH and NHAI and jointly develop a software which can generate traffic data reports that would be accurate and useful for its planning purposes.

Union Budget 2016-17: Deciphering the Defence Budget

March 01, 2016
Deciphering the Defence Budget

The underutilisation of allocated funds suggest that the meagre funds available in the modernisation budget after catering for committed liabilities have not been fully utilised. Thus, a thorough introspection for better expenditure management is needed.

Analysis Based Forecast of Revised Estimates of Defence Budget 2015-16: Who Bails Out Whom?

February 23, 2016
Analysis Based Forecast of Revised Estimates of Defence Budget 2015-16: Who Bails Out Whom?

Sustaining and building defence capabilty is a continuous process. It requires both adequate budget allocations and full, efficient and judicous utilisation of the allocated budget. This does not appear to have happened in the immediate past and the trend appears to continue in the current year.

Defence Budget 2015 -16: The Writing on the Wall

February 27, 2015
Defence Budget 2015 -16: The Writing on the Wall

It is a fairly simple exercise to estimate what the defence budget will be given available indicators. My assessment is that the Budget Estimate for defence is likely to be around Rs. 250,000 crore, with 105,000 crore for Capital Expenditure and 145,000 Crore for Revenue Expenditure.

The Imperative of Public Private Partnership in the Defence Aviation Industry

December 03, 2014
The Imperative of Public Private Partnership in the Defence Aviation Industry

It is necessary to evolve a long term strategy keeping in mind all the aircraft acquisition programmes, review the factors that contribute to determining the right numbers and begin the process of building a long term partnership with the private industry.

Defence Budget 2015-16: The Bad, the Worse and the Good

March 02, 2015
Defence Budget 2015-16: The Bad, the Worse and the Good

The bad news in this year’s defence budget is that it does not recognise that things are not going in the right direction but only the beaten track. And the poor track record in fully utilising the resources allocated for ‘Modernisation’ is the worse news.

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