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  • Whither Pakistan? Growing Instability and Implications for India

    Whither Pakistan? Growing Instability and Implications for India
    Author
    2010

    IDSA Task Force Report
    Publisher: Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses
    Rs. 299 [ORDER NOW]
    ISBN 81-86019-70-7
    Download E-Copy[PDF Size 10.5 MB]

    E-Copy without Maps [PDF Size 0.826 MB]

    About the Report

    Pakistan has invariably evoked a great deal of interest among India’s strategic affairs community. Because of historical, geographical, economic and cultural linkages, developments in the neighbourhood have important implications for India’s politics, economy and security. This is especially true in the case of Pakistan. Recent developments in Pakistan have been a cause of concern for all the countries concerned about its future. Given the need for better understanding of developments in Pakistan, IDSA launched its Pakistan Project in the year 2009. The project team began its work in March 2009 and has been meeting regularly to discuss various developments in Pakistan. This is the first report produced by the team and it was reviewed by a panel of experts in January 2010 and finalized with their inputs and suggestions.

    The basic argument that flows from the report is that Pakistan is likely to remain unstable because of inherent weaknesses in its political, economic and security policies. The absence of any long-term shared vision of Pakistan, the over-securitization of the state apparatus because of its obsession with India as a threat and an enemy, and the state’s ambivalence towards the phenomenon of Islamic radicalism will keep Pakistan in a state of chronic turmoil. The report suggests a set of policy alternatives for India to deal with the consequences of an unstable Pakistan, on a long term basis.

    Contents

    FOREWORD
    LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
    PREFACE

    CHAPTER I
    Politics in Pakistan: A Discordant Quartet

    CHAPTER II
    Provinces of Pakistan: Politics, Militancy and Ethnic Nationalism

    CHAPTER III
    Pakistan’s Foreign Policy: Travails of Uncertainty

    CHAPTER IV
    From Islamisation to Talibanisation: Possible Lebanonisation?

    CHAPTER V
    The Economy of Pakistan: Structural Weaknesses

    CHAPTER VI
    Civil-Military Relations: Army as the Final Arbiter

    CHAPTER VII
    Pakistan’s Counter-insurgency Campaign: An Assessment

    CHAPTER VIII
    Pakistan’s Nuclear & Missile Programmes: On a Short Fuse?

    CHAPTER IX
    Pakistan’s Relations with India: The Unending Quest for Parity

    CHAPTER X
    Pakistan 2020: Possible Scenarios and Options

    CHAPTER XI
    Dealing with An Unstable Pakistan: India’s Options

    APPENDICES
    Appendix I
    Profiles of Some Terror Groups Operating in Pakistan
    Appendix II
    The Image of Pakistan in Media
    Appendix III
    Economic Indicators of Pakistan

    Task Force Members

    Arvind Gupta is Lal Bhadur Shastri Chair at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Alok Bansal is currently Executive Director, National Maritime Foundation, New Delhi, India. He was earlier Research Fellow at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Ashok K Behuria is Research Fellow at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    C.V. Sastry is Research Fellow at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Harinder Singh is Research Fellow at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    P.K. Upadhayay is Consultant at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Smruti S Pattanaik is Research Fellow at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Sumita Kumar is Senior Research Associate at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Sushant Sarin is Consultant at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Research Assistance Provided By

    Kartik Bommakanti is Research Asistant, at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses(IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Medha Bisht Research Asistant at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Shamshad Khan Research Asistant at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Imtiyaz Majid Research Asistant at Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.

    Maps in the report are drawn by
    Vivek Dhanker, Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi, India.


    How to order

    Please email us at publication [at] idsa.in or call +91-11-2671 7983 (Ext. 7321 or 7225)

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